Petrolul Ploiesti vs CSM Targu Mures prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 78%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 168 Margin CTM by 10 Win CTM 78% Actual 191 · CTM won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Petrolul Ploiesti vs CSM Targu Mures
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Petrolul Ploiesti 3, CSM Targu Mures 2.
- Average total 180.6 points per meeting
- Over 174.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting PET by 10 Apr 30, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 30, 2026 Divizia A Petrolul Ploiesti 89–79 CSM Targu Mures 168 pts
- Apr 26, 2026 Divizia A CSM Targu Mures 74–91 Petrolul Ploiesti 165 pts
- Apr 24, 2026 Divizia A CSM Targu Mures 89–91 Petrolul Ploiesti 180 pts
- Jan 28, 2026 Divizia A CSM Targu Mures 107–100 Petrolul Ploiesti 207 pts
- Oct 11, 2025 Divizia A Petrolul Ploiesti 86–97 CSM Targu Mures 183 pts
Last five games
- Oct 24: Petrolul Ploiesti 72, Rapid Bucuresti 88. Lost. Odds: Petrolul Ploiesti 2.65, Rapid Bucuresti 1.35.
- Oct 17: BC Steaua Bucuresti 68, Petrolul Ploiesti 76. Won. Odds: BC Steaua Bucuresti 1.42, Petrolul Ploiesti 2.20.
- Oct 10: Petrolul Ploiesti 67, Valcea 93. Lost. Odds: Petrolul Ploiesti 4.85, Valcea 1.13.
- Oct 3: Voluntari 103, Petrolul Ploiesti 84. Lost. Odds: Voluntari 1.15, Petrolul Ploiesti 4.55.
- Sep 30: Petrolul Ploiesti 74, SCM Timisoara 88. Lost. Odds: Petrolul Ploiesti 2.10, SCM Timisoara 1.62.
- Oct 22: CSM Targu Mures 92, BC Steaua Bucuresti 89. Won. Odds: CSM Targu Mures 1.08, BC Steaua Bucuresti 5.20.
- Oct 17: Valcea 83, CSM Targu Mures 91. Won. Odds: Valcea 1.27, CSM Targu Mures 2.70.
- Oct 10: CSM Targu Mures 85, Voluntari 91. Lost. Odds: CSM Targu Mures 1.83, Voluntari 1.83.
- Oct 4: SCM Timisoara 72, CSM Targu Mures 78. Won. Odds: SCM Timisoara 1.57, CSM Targu Mures 2.20.
- Sep 30: CSM Targu Mures 109, Municipal Galati 83. Won. Odds: CSM Targu Mures 1.09, Municipal Galati 5.75.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved down from 177.5 to 174.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 25.2 — Petrolul Ploiesti −13.0 per 100 possessions, CSM Targu Mures +12.2.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Petrolul Ploiesti.
- 1-4 in the last five for Petrolul Ploiesti.
- 4-1 in the last five for CSM Targu Mures.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PET moneyline | 3.10 | moved up 3.20 |
| CTM moneyline | 1.29 | moved down 1.24 |
| Total points | 177.5 | moved down 174.5 |
| PET spread | +7.5 | +7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Divizia A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 455 | 405 | +50 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 456 | 416 | +40 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 451 | 395 | +56 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 443 | 422 | +21 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 439 | 442 | −3 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 438 | 445 | −7 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 457 | 463 | −6 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 426 | 447 | −21 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 386 | 397 | −11 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 380 | 462 | −82 | |
| 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 353 | 358 | −5 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 266 | 235 | +31 | |
| 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 305 | 292 | +13 | |
| 14 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 436 | 512 | −76 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Petrolul Ploiesti host CSM Targu Mures in the Divizia A on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.