Pesaro vs Cividale Prediction & Odds — Oct 21

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Serie A2 Wednesday, October 21, 2026Wed, Oct 21 Start14:30ET Round 5

PesaroHome · 5-1 · 3rd · 1.36

7622201321

CividaleAway · 3-4 · 12th · 3.00

6821181514

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Pesaro 22 20 13 21

Cividale 21 18 15 14

FT Vitrifrigo Arena · ItalyVitrifrigo Arena · Round 5

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.36 77%

Pesaro to win edge −11.1%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.36 Pesaro to win Confidence77% model 63.6% · market 74.7% edge −11.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 82%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.36 63.6% 74.7% −11.1% 77% Won

Total points O151.5 1.39 67.5% 65.6% +1.9% 85% Lost

Point spread CIV +15.5 1.26 69.1% 70.3% −1.2% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Pesaro7682

Cividale6877

Total 159 actual 144

Winning margin PES by 5 actual PES by 8

Chance to win PES 64% PES won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Pesaro7682

Cividale6877

Total 159 Margin PES by 5 Win PES 64% Actual 144 · PES won

Last five games

Pesaro 4-1

Oct 18: Ruvo Di Puglia 76, Pesaro 86. Won. Odds: Ruvo Di Puglia 2.55, Pesaro 1.48.
Oct 11: Pesaro 83, Caserta 77. Won. Odds: Pesaro 1.24, Caserta 3.65.
Oct 4: Pesaro 87, JuVi Cremona 84. Won. Odds: Pesaro 1.16, JuVi Cremona 4.55.
Sep 27: Cento 81, Pesaro 96. Won. Odds: Cento 1.72, Pesaro 2.00.
May 19: Pesaro 78, Rimini 91. Lost. No odds on record.

Cividale 1-4

Oct 17: Cividale 62, Avellino Basket 77. Lost. Odds: Cividale 1.80, Avellino Basket 1.90.
Oct 11: Basket Torino 76, Cividale 59. Lost. Odds: Basket Torino 1.95, Cividale 1.75.
Oct 4: Ruvo Di Puglia 83, Cividale 86. Won. Odds: Ruvo Di Puglia 2.57, Cividale 1.45.
Sep 26: Cividale 69, Forli 85. Lost. Odds: Cividale 1.22, Forli 3.80.
May 28: Rimini 87, Cividale 76. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
PES moneyline	1.25	moved up 1.36
CIV moneyline	3.70	moved down 3.00
Total points	158.5	moved up 160.5
PES spread	−8.5	moved up −7.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Serie A2 standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Libertas Livorno	6	6	0	12	490	402	+88
2	Avellino Basket	6	5	1	11	486	441	+45
3	Pesaro	6	5	1	11	499	459	+40
4	Rimini	7	5	2	12	578	497	+81
5	Basket Torino	5	4	1	9	375	367	+8
6	Fortitudo Bologna	6	4	2	10	488	464	+24
7	Sebastiani Rieti	6	4	2	10	452	459	−7
8	Brindisi	7	4	3	11	536	513	+23
9	Pistoia	6	3	3	9	469	419	+50
10	Forli	6	3	3	9	500	477	+23
11	Sassari	6	3	3	9	437	456	−19
12	Cividale	7	3	4	10	495	521	−26
13	Caserta	5	2	3	7	404	406	−2
14	Ruvo Di Puglia	6	2	4	8	475	506	−31
15	Vigevano	6	2	4	8	463	512	−49
16	Mestre	7	3	4	10	511	534	−23
17	Cento	7	2	5	9	515	585	−70
18	Montecatini	6	1	5	7	432	505	−73
19	Urania Milano	7	1	6	8	530	572	−42
20	JuVi Cremona	6	0	6	6	449	489	−40

Lega A
Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in: Final
Play-in: Semi-finals
Play Out
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Pesaro host Cividale in the Serie A2 on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.