Pesaro vs Caserta prediction
Pesaro
23
23
16
21
Caserta
24
15
21
17
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Pesaro8384Caserta7780Pesaro8384Caserta7780Total 164 Margin PES by 4 Win PES 63% Actual 160 · PES won
Pesaro vs Caserta
Pesaro
Caserta
Last five games
Pesaro
3-2 - Oct 4: Pesaro 87, JuVi Cremona 84. Won. Odds: Pesaro 1.16, JuVi Cremona 4.55.
- Sep 27: Cento 81, Pesaro 96. Won. Odds: Cento 1.72, Pesaro 2.00.
- May 19: Pesaro 78, Rimini 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 16: Rimini 94, Pesaro 96. Won. No odds on record.
- May 14: Rimini 93, Pesaro 75. Lost. No odds on record.
Caserta
0-2 - Oct 4: Caserta 81, Fortitudo Bologna 83. Lost. Odds: Caserta 2.95, Fortitudo Bologna 1.35.
- Sep 27: Sebastiani Rieti 81, Caserta 73. Lost. Odds: Sebastiani Rieti 1.15, Caserta 4.50.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 159.5 to 162.5 since it was first published.
- 3rd vs 13th in the Serie A2 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PES moneyline | 1.24 | 1.24 |
| CAS moneyline | 3.60 | moved up 3.65 |
| Total points | 159.5 | moved up 162.5 |
| PES spread | −8.5 | −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Serie A2 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Libertas Livorno |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 490 | 402 | +88 |
| 2 |  Avellino Basket |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 486 | 441 | +45 |
| 3 | Pesaro |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 499 | 459 | +40 |
| 4 |  Rimini |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 578 | 497 | +81 |
| 5 |  Basket Torino |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 375 | 367 | +8 |
| 6 |  Fortitudo Bologna |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 488 | 464 | +24 |
| 7 |  Sebastiani Rieti |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 452 | 459 | −7 |
| 8 |  Brindisi |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 536 | 513 | +23 |
| 9 |  Pistoia |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 469 | 419 | +50 |
| 10 |  Forli |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 477 | +23 |
| 11 |  Sassari |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 437 | 456 | −19 |
| 12 |  Cividale |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 495 | 521 | −26 |
| 13 | Caserta |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 404 | 406 | −2 |
| 14 |  Ruvo Di Puglia |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 475 | 506 | −31 |
| 15 |  Vigevano |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 463 | 512 | −49 |
| 16 |  Mestre |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 511 | 534 | −23 |
| 17 |  Cento |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 515 | 585 | −70 |
| 18 |  Montecatini |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 432 | 505 | −73 |
| 19 |  Urania Milano |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 530 | 572 | −42 |
| 20 |  JuVi Cremona |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 449 | 489 | −40 |
- Lega A
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in: Final
- Play-in: Semi-finals
- Play Out
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Pesaro host Caserta in the Serie A2 on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.