Perth vs Sydney Prediction & Odds

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.62 56.9% 50.3% +6.6% 64% Won

Total points O178.5 1.32 66.5% 70.0% −3.5% 83% Won

Point spread SYD +7.5 1.25 70.9% 72.2% −1.3% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Perth9191

Sydney9999

Total 190 actual 190

Winning margin SYD by 8 actual SYD by 8

Chance to win SYD 72% SYD won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Perth9191

Sydney9999

Total 190 Margin SYD by 8 Win SYD 72% Actual 190 · SYD won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 7+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Perth large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Sydney

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Perth vs Sydney

Perth Sydney

Last 9 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Head-to-head

Average total 185.8 points per meeting
Over 191.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
Last meeting SYD by 21 Oct 17, 2026

Meetings

Oct 17, 2026 NBL Sydney 10281 Perth 183 pts
Mar 14, 2026 NBL Perth 7589 Sydney 164 pts
Mar 11, 2026 NBL Sydney 105104 Perth 209 pts
Feb 15, 2026 NBL Sydney 10284 Perth 186 pts
Dec 12, 2025 NBL Perth 79108 Sydney 187 pts

Last five games

Perth 4-1

Oct 23: Perth 103, Melbourne United 102. Won. Odds: Perth 1.85, Melbourne United 1.83.
Oct 17: Sydney 102, Perth 81. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.20, Perth 3.05.
Oct 10: Perth 100, New Zealand Breakers 84. Won. Odds: Perth 1.34, New Zealand Breakers 3.12.
Oct 2: Perth 92, South East Melbourne 88. Won. Odds: Perth 2.58, South East Melbourne 1.48.
Sep 26: Perth 97, New Zealand Breakers 93. Won. Odds: Perth 1.47, New Zealand Breakers 2.60.

Sydney 2-3

Oct 25: Melbourne United 105, Sydney 95. Lost. Odds: Melbourne United 2.12, Sydney 1.62.
Oct 22: Illawarra Hawks 82, Sydney 108. Won. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 3.10, Sydney 1.30.
Oct 17: Sydney 102, Perth 81. Won. Odds: Sydney 1.20, Perth 3.05.
Oct 14: Sydney 101, New Zealand Breakers 102. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.11, New Zealand Breakers 3.90.
Oct 11: Sydney 78, Adelaide 84. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.23, Adelaide 3.85.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

Key insights

Odds moved: the odds on Sydney dropped from 1.83 to 1.62 since they were first published.
Rest advantage: 4 days off for Perth, 2 for Sydney.
5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Sydney.
Over/under moved up from 188.5 to 191.5 since it was first published.
Net rating difference of 16.4 — Perth −4.2 per 100 possessions, Sydney +12.2.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
PER moneyline	1.85	moved up 2.12
SYD moneyline	1.83	moved down 1.62
Total points	188.5	moved up 191.5
PER spread	+1.5	moved up +3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NBL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Sydney	10	7	3	.700	979	881	+98
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	10	7	3	.700	956	908	+48
3	Perth	9	5	4	.556	839	870	−31
4	Cairns Taipans	11	6	5	.545	1014	1062	−48
5	Melbourne United	10	5	5	.500	967	925	+42
6	Brisbane Bullets	10	5	5	.500	938	967	−29
7	Adelaide	11	5	6	.455	1001	1031	−30
8	South East Melbourne	10	4	6	.400	969	943	+26
9	New Zealand Breakers	10	4	6	.400	922	906	+16
10	Illawarra Hawks	11	3	8	.273	1057	1149	−92

Playoffs: Semi-finals
Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Perth vs Sydney prediction