Perth vs Illawarra Hawks prediction
Perth
19
25
25
29
Illawarra Hawks
24
27
27
27
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 84%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Perth98100Illawarra Hawks10593Perth98100Illawarra Hawks10593Total 193 Margin PER by 7 Win PER 65% Actual 203 · ILL won
Perth
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Illawarra Hawks
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Perth vs Illawarra Hawks
Perth
Illawarra Hawks
Last 9 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Perth at home, last 8 games · Illawarra Hawks away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Perth 3, Illawarra Hawks 1.
- Average total 182.3 points per meeting
- Over 195.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting PER by 7 Jan 31, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 31, 2026 NBL Illawarra Hawks 99–106 Perth 205 pts
- Jan 16, 2026 NBL Perth 92–87 Illawarra Hawks 179 pts
- Oct 25, 2025 NBL Perth 84–85 Illawarra Hawks 169 pts
- Oct 2, 2025 NBL Perth 92–84 Illawarra Hawks 176 pts
Last five games
Perth
3-2 - Oct 28: Perth 91, Sydney 99. Lost. Odds: Perth 2.12, Sydney 1.62.
- Oct 23: Perth 103, Melbourne United 102. Won. Odds: Perth 1.85, Melbourne United 1.83.
- Oct 17: Sydney 102, Perth 81. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.20, Perth 3.05.
- Oct 10: Perth 100, New Zealand Breakers 84. Won. Odds: Perth 1.34, New Zealand Breakers 3.12.
- Oct 2: Perth 92, South East Melbourne 88. Won. Odds: Perth 2.58, South East Melbourne 1.48.
Illawarra Hawks
1-4 - Oct 24: Illawarra Hawks 81, Brisbane Bullets 98. Lost. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 1.62, Brisbane Bullets 2.10.
- Oct 22: Illawarra Hawks 82, Sydney 108. Lost. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 3.10, Sydney 1.30.
- Oct 18: Melbourne United 89, Illawarra Hawks 91. Won. Odds: Melbourne United 1.15, Illawarra Hawks 4.90.
- Oct 11: Illawarra Hawks 100, Cairns Taipans 110. Lost. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 1.74, Cairns Taipans 2.05.
- Oct 9: Illawarra Hawks 112, Tasmania JackJumpers 122. Lost. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 1.68, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.10.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Illawarra Hawks, 2 for Perth.
- 1-4 away for Illawarra Hawks this season.
- Over/under moved up from 191.5 to 195.5 since it was first published.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Perth.
- 1-4 in the last five for Illawarra Hawks.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PER moneyline | 1.24 | moved up 1.27 |
| ILL moneyline | 3.55 | 3.55 |
| Total points | 191.5 | moved up 195.5 |
| PER spread | −8.5 | moved up −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 |  Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 | Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 |  Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 |  Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 |  Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 |  Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 |  South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 |  New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 | Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Perth host Illawarra Hawks in the NBL on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.