Perth Lynx vs Townsville prediction
Perth Lynx
28
17
19
22
Townsville
23
28
12
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Perth Lynx8679Townsville8376Perth Lynx8679Townsville8376Total 155 Margin PER by 3 Win PER 57% Actual 169 · PER won
Perth Lynx
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Townsville
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Perth Lynx vs Townsville
Perth Lynx
Townsville
Last 28 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions
Perth Lynx at home, last 14 games · Townsville away, last 15
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Perth Lynx 1, Townsville 4.
- Average total 173.0 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TOW by 3 Mar 1, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 1, 2026 NBL Women Perth Lynx 105–108 OT Townsville 213 pts · OT
- Feb 26, 2026 NBL Women Townsville 88–79 Perth Lynx 167 pts
- Jan 20, 2026 NBL Women Perth Lynx 76–82 Townsville 158 pts
- Dec 14, 2025 NBL Women Townsville 81–97 Perth Lynx 178 pts
- Nov 4, 2025 NBL Women Perth Lynx 70–79 Townsville 149 pts
Last five games
Perth Lynx
3-2 - Mar 1: Perth Lynx 105, Townsville 108. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 26: Townsville 88, Perth Lynx 79. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 17: Bendigo 75, Perth Lynx 81. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 14: Perth Lynx 86, Bendigo 76. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 7: Perth Lynx 108, Sydney 93. Won. No odds on record.
Townsville
4-1 - Mar 1: Perth Lynx 105, Townsville 108. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 26: Townsville 88, Perth Lynx 79. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 22: Townsville 84, Southside 74. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 18: Southside 109, Townsville 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 15: Townsville 88, Southside 60. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Townsville coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Perth Lynx dropped from 3.20 to 2.70 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 163.5 to 166.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Townsville.
- 173.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 166.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PER moneyline | 3.20 | moved down 2.70 |
| TOW moneyline | 1.31 | moved down 1.27 |
| Total points | 163.5 | moved up 166.5 |
| PER spread | +7.5 | +7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perth Lynx |
2 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 176 | 165 | +11 |
| 2 |  Sydney |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 429 | 381 | +48 |
| 3 |  Tasmania Jewels |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 273 | 266 | +7 |
| 4 |  Canberra Capitals |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 241 | 242 | −1 |
| 5 | Townsville |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 337 | 312 | +25 |
| 6 | Geelong Venom | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 309 | 319 | −10 |
| 7 |  Adelaide Lightning |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 299 | 345 | −46 |
| 8 |  Southside |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 307 | 309 | −2 |
| 9 |  Bendigo |
3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 230 | 262 | −32 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Perth Lynx host Townsville in the NBL Women on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.