Perspektiva Ilirija vs Mega Basket Prediction & Odds

ABA League Sunday, October 18, 2026Sun, Oct 18 Start11:00ET Round 4

Perspektiva IlirijaHome · 2-3 · 4th · 1.70

9624193023

Mega BasketAway · 2-2 · 9th · 2.00

6216211213

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Perspektiva Ilirija 24 19 30 23

Mega Basket 16 21 12 13

FT Hala TivoliHala Tivoli · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Total points Lost

O161.5 1.42 73%

Over 161.5 points edge +8.3%

Best tip of the game Total points · Lost O161.5 1.42 Over 161.5 points Confidence73% model 72.6% · market 64.3% edge +8.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.72 65.3% 51.8% +13.5% 65% Won

Total points O161.5 1.42 72.6% 64.3% +8.3% 73% Lost

Point spread PER +2.5 1.55 70.8% 58.2% +12.6% 71% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Perspektiva Ilirija9690

Mega Basket6283

Total 173 actual 158

Winning margin PER by 7 actual PER by 34

Chance to win PER 65% PER won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Perspektiva Ilirija9690

Mega Basket6283

Total 173 Margin PER by 7 Win PER 65% Actual 158 · PER won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 6+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Perspektiva Ilirija large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Mega Basket

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Perspektiva Ilirija vs Mega Basket

Perspektiva Ilirija Mega Basket

Last 11 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Perspektiva Ilirija 2-3

Oct 14: Zlatorog Lasko 69, Perspektiva Ilirija 93. Won. Odds: Zlatorog Lasko 6.10, Perspektiva Ilirija 1.09.
Oct 10: Perspektiva Ilirija 76, Spartak Subotica 82. Lost. Odds: Perspektiva Ilirija 2.12, Spartak Subotica 1.45.
Oct 7: Perspektiva Ilirija 82, KK Krka Novo mesto 83. Lost. Odds: Perspektiva Ilirija 1.87, KK Krka Novo mesto 1.80.
Oct 4: Perspektiva Ilirija 70, Dubai 85. Lost. Odds: Perspektiva Ilirija 6.63, Dubai 1.09.
Sep 30: KK Triglav Kranj 79, Perspektiva Ilirija 89. Won. Odds: KK Triglav Kranj 2.65, Perspektiva Ilirija 1.42.

Mega Basket 3-2

Oct 11: Mega Basket 88, Zadar 82. Won. Odds: Mega Basket 1.80, Zadar 1.94.
Oct 5: Partizan Mozzart Bet 83, Mega Basket 59. Lost. Odds: Partizan Mozzart Bet 1.07, Mega Basket 7.48.
Apr 26: Borac Mozzart 89, Mega Basket 98. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 20: Mega Basket 95, Split 72. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 13: Studentski Centar 89, Mega Basket 85. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
PER moneyline	1.76	moved down 1.70
MEG moneyline	1.90	moved up 2.00
Total points	168.5	168.5
PER spread	−1.5	−1.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

ABA League standings

Regular Season · Group B

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Partizan Mozzart Bet	4	4	0	8	353	301	+52
2	Dubai	4	4	0	8	378	328	+50
3	KK Bosna	5	3	2	8	450	433	+17
4	Perspektiva Ilirija	5	2	3	7	396	406	−10
5	Zadar	4	2	2	6	319	301	+18
6	Cluj-Napoca	4	2	2	6	355	343	+12
7	Spartak Subotica	4	2	2	6	330	328	+2
8	Vienna Basket	5	1	4	6	409	439	−30
9	Mega Basket	4	2	2	6	303	349	−46
10	Studentski Centar	5	0	5	5	406	471	−65

Winners stage
Losers stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Perspektiva Ilirija host Mega Basket in the ABA League on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.