Penarol vs San Martin Prediction & Odds — Oct 27

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Liga A Tuesday, October 27, 2026Tue, Oct 27 Start20:00ET

PenarolHome · 4-1 · 2nd · 1.20

9523252423

San MartinAway · 0-6 · 18th · 4.20

7611212519

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Penarol 23 25 24 23

San Martin 11 21 25 19

FT Polideportivo Islas Malvinas · ArgentinaPolideportivo Islas Malvinas

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.20 79%

Penarol to win edge −8.7%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.20 Penarol to win Confidence79% model 65.1% · market 73.8% edge −8.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 83%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.20 65.1% 73.8% −8.7% 79% Won

Total points O152.5 1.38 73.8% 66.3% +7.5% 85% Won

Point spread SAN +15.5 1.26 69.3% 73.0% −3.7% 85% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Penarol9585

San Martin7679

Total 164 actual 171

Winning margin PEN by 6 actual PEN by 19

Chance to win PEN 65% PEN won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Penarol9585

San Martin7679

Total 164 Margin PEN by 6 Win PEN 65% Actual 171 · PEN won

Last five games

Penarol 4-1

Oct 16: San Lorenzo 85, Penarol 92. Won. Odds: San Lorenzo 1.73, Penarol 1.97.
Oct 14: Lanus 77, Penarol 84. Won. Odds: Lanus 1.90, Penarol 1.84.
Sep 30: Penarol 62, Gimnasia 57. Won. Odds: Penarol 2.13, Gimnasia 1.66.
May 2: Penarol 68, Ferro 84. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 30: Penarol 87, Ferro 75. Won. No odds on record.

San Martin 0-5

Oct 20: San Martin 86, Olimpico 106. Lost. Odds: San Martin 1.61, Olimpico 2.20.
Oct 10: Argentino 82, San Martin 79. Lost. Odds: Argentino 1.62, San Martin 1.85.
Oct 8: Racing de Chivilcoy 126, San Martin 123. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Racing de Chivilcoy 1.28, San Martin 3.30.
Sep 30: San Martin 73, Instituto de Cordoba 81. Lost. Odds: San Martin 1.98, Instituto de Cordoba 1.72.
Apr 30: San Martin 97, Boca Juniors 101. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
PEN moneyline	1.24	moved down 1.20
SAN moneyline	3.50	moved up 4.20
Total points	159.5	moved up 160.5
PEN spread	−7.5	−7.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Liga A standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Quimsa	6	6	0	1.000	506	443	+63
2	Penarol	5	4	1	.800	406	373	+33
3	Atenas	5	4	1	.800	434	419	+15
4	Gimnasia	8	6	2	.750	610	583	+27
5	Olimpico	5	3	2	.600	443	419	+24
6	Argentino	5	3	2	.600	403	394	+9
7	Instituto de Cordoba	5	3	2	.600	373	371	+2
8	Boca Juniors	6	3	3	.500	529	510	+19
9	Platense	6	3	3	.500	482	482	0
10	Independiente de Oliva	2	1	1	.500	200	190	+10
11	Racing de Chivilcoy	7	3	4	.429	576	590	−14
12	Lanus	8	3	5	.375	606	632	−26
13	Ferro	6	2	4	.333	492	513	−21
14	La Union	3	1	2	.333	244	252	−8
15	Regatas	4	1	3	.250	299	313	−14
16	San Lorenzo	4	1	3	.250	305	323	−18
17	Obera TC	5	1	4	.200	367	406	−39
18	San Martin	6	0	6	.000	509	571	−62

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Penarol host San Martin in the Liga A on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.