Pelplin vs Spojnia Stargard prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 174 Margin SPO by 6 Win SPO 68% Actual 191 · PEL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Pelplin vs Spojnia Stargard
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Pelplin 2, Spojnia Stargard 3.
- Average total 167.4 points per meeting
- Over 172.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SPO by 15 Apr 29, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 29, 2026 1 Liga Spojnia Stargard 93–78 Pelplin 171 pts
- Apr 26, 2026 1 Liga Pelplin 83–76 Spojnia Stargard 159 pts
- Apr 25, 2026 1 Liga Pelplin 68–92 Spojnia Stargard 160 pts
- Apr 19, 2026 1 Liga Spojnia Stargard 84–87 Pelplin 171 pts
- Apr 18, 2026 1 Liga Spojnia Stargard 96–80 Pelplin 176 pts
Last five games
- Oct 17: R. Rzeszow 98, Pelplin 106. Won. Odds: R. Rzeszow 2.30, Pelplin 1.55.
- Oct 9: Pelplin 91, Krosno 80. Won. Odds: Pelplin 1.92, Krosno 1.78.
- Oct 3: WKK Wroclaw 97, Pelplin 83. Lost. Odds: WKK Wroclaw 2.45, Pelplin 1.48.
- Sep 30: Leszno 91, Pelplin 74. Lost. Odds: Leszno 1.22, Pelplin 3.70.
- Sep 27: Pelplin 89, Poli. Opolska 76. Won. Odds: Pelplin 1.34, Poli. Opolska 2.90.
- Oct 18: Krosno 72, Spojnia Stargard 77. Won. Odds: Krosno 2.00, Spojnia Stargard 1.67.
- Oct 10: Spojnia Stargard 105, Poli. Opolska 79. Won. Odds: Spojnia Stargard 1.08, Poli. Opolska 6.00.
- Oct 4: Poznan 94, Spojnia Stargard 99. Won. Odds: Poznan 2.32, Spojnia Stargard 1.52.
- Sep 26: Spojnia Stargard 88, Bytom 79. Won. Odds: Spojnia Stargard 1.26, Bytom 3.40.
- Sep 19: GKS Tychy 81, Spojnia Stargard 83. Won. Odds: GKS Tychy 2.25, Spojnia Stargard 1.57.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Spojnia Stargard coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Spojnia Stargard dropped from 1.45 to 1.35 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.3 — Pelplin +2.2 per 100 possessions, Spojnia Stargard +8.5.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Spojnia Stargard.
- 167.4 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 172.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PEL moneyline | 2.47 | moved up 2.70 |
| SPO moneyline | 1.45 | moved down 1.35 |
| Total points | 171.5 | moved up 172.5 |
| PEL spread | +4.5 | moved up +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
1 Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 636 | 514 | +122 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 649 | 600 | +49 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 616 | 548 | +68 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 639 | 597 | +42 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 634 | 639 | −5 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 582 | 569 | +13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 558 | 551 | +7 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 636 | 642 | −6 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 539 | 557 | −18 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 602 | 593 | +9 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 629 | 639 | −10 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 570 | 603 | −33 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 597 | 610 | −13 | |
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 537 | 623 | −86 | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 591 | 642 | −51 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 571 | 659 | −88 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Pelplin host Spojnia Stargard in the 1 Liga on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.