PeKa vs HBA-Marsky Helsinki prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 145 Margin PEK by 3 Win PEK 56% Actual 140 · HMH won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
PeKa vs HBA-Marsky Helsinki
Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: PeKa 3, HBA-Marsky Helsinki 2.
- Average total 137.2 points per meeting
- Over 147.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting PEK by 1 Apr 26, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 26, 2026 Korisliiga Women HBA-Marsky Helsinki 71–72 PeKa 143 pts
- Apr 23, 2026 Korisliiga Women PeKa 74–66 HBA-Marsky Helsinki 140 pts
- Apr 20, 2026 Korisliiga Women HBA-Marsky Helsinki 53–61 PeKa 114 pts
- Apr 17, 2026 Korisliiga Women PeKa 59–68 HBA-Marsky Helsinki 127 pts
- Feb 27, 2026 Korisliiga Women HBA-Marsky Helsinki 83–79 OT PeKa 162 pts · OT
Last five games
- Apr 26: HBA-Marsky Helsinki 71, PeKa 72. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 23: PeKa 74, HBA-Marsky Helsinki 66. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 20: HBA-Marsky Helsinki 53, PeKa 61. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: PeKa 59, HBA-Marsky Helsinki 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 14: PeKa 80, Torpan Pojat Helsinki 74. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: HBA-Marsky Helsinki 71, PeKa 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 23: PeKa 74, HBA-Marsky Helsinki 66. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 20: HBA-Marsky Helsinki 53, PeKa 61. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: PeKa 59, HBA-Marsky Helsinki 68. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 14: HBA-Marsky Helsinki 84, BC Nokia 67. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for PeKa coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for HBA-Marsky Helsinki coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on HBA-Marsky Helsinki dropped from 3.60 to 2.77 since they were first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for PeKa.
- 137.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 147.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PEK moneyline | 1.22 | moved up 1.37 |
| HMH moneyline | 3.60 | moved down 2.77 |
| Total points | 148.5 | moved down 147.5 |
| PEK spread | −11.5 | moved up −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Korisliiga Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 395 | 355 | +40 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 544 | 403 | +141 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 436 | 339 | +97 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 415 | 382 | +33 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 436 | 474 | −38 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 343 | 357 | −14 | |
| 7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 362 | 442 | −80 | |
| 8 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 411 | 508 | −97 | |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 353 | 435 | −82 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - I Divisioona Women
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
PeKa host HBA-Marsky Helsinki in the Korisliiga Women on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.