Paulistano vs Bauru Prediction & Odds — Oct 30

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NBB Friday, October 30, 2026Fri, Oct 30 Start18:30ET

PaulistanoHome · 3-1 · 7th · 1.56

8326261615

BauruAway · 2-2 · 10th · 2.30

7523122119

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Paulistano 26 26 16 15

Bauru 23 12 21 19

FT Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr · BrazilGinasio Antonio Prado Jr

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

PAU +4.5 1.31 85%

Paulistano +4.5 on the spread edge +2.7%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won PAU +4.5 1.31 Paulistano +4.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 73.5% · market 70.8% edge +2.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 81%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.56 61.3% 61.0% +0.3% 73% Won

Total points O151.5 1.83 70.0% 66.0% +4.0% 85% Won

Point spread PAU +4.5 1.31 73.5% 70.8% +2.7% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Paulistano8382

Bauru7579

Total 161 actual 158

Winning margin PAU by 3 actual PAU by 8

Chance to win PAU 61% PAU won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Paulistano8382

Bauru7579

Total 161 Margin PAU by 3 Win PAU 61% Actual 158 · PAU won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Paulistano large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Bauru

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Paulistano vs Bauru

Paulistano Bauru

Last 28 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Paulistano 2-3

Oct 28: Paulistano 65, Franca 62. Won. Odds: Paulistano 3.00, Franca 1.36.
Oct 24: Brasilia 91, Paulistano 73. Lost. Odds: Brasilia 1.36, Paulistano 3.00.
Oct 21: Pato 74, Paulistano 80. Won. Odds: Pato 3.20, Paulistano 1.18.
May 9: Paulistano 74, Pinheiros 84. Lost. No odds on record.
May 7: Paulistano 68, Pinheiros 76. Lost. No odds on record.

Bauru 3-2

Oct 23: Bauru 61, Mogi 79. Lost. Odds: Bauru 2.80, Mogi 1.38.
Oct 21: Bauru 83, Sao Jose 68. Won. Odds: Bauru 1.27, Sao Jose 2.70.
Oct 18: Flamengo 81, Bauru 82. Won. Odds: Flamengo 1.20, Bauru 4.20.
Apr 29: Paulistano 71, Bauru 62. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 26: Bauru 88, Paulistano 75. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
PAU moneyline	1.50	moved up 1.56
BAU moneyline	2.50	moved down 2.30
Total points	158.5	moved down 151.5
PAU spread	−4.5	moved up −3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NBB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Minas	4	4	0	1.000	352	263	+89
2	Brasilia	4	3	1	.750	345	345	0
3	Unifacisa	4	3	1	.750	344	296	+48
4	Mogi	4	3	1	.750	315	294	+21
5	Flamengo	4	3	1	.750	322	277	+45
6	Pinheiros	4	3	1	.750	327	281	+46
7	Paulistano	4	3	1	.750	301	302	−1
8	Franca	4	2	2	.500	290	276	+14
9	Cruzeiro	4	2	2	.500	302	301	+1
10	Bauru	4	2	2	.500	301	311	−10
11	Uniao Corinthians	5	2	3	.400	369	400	−31
12	Corinthians Paulista	3	1	2	.333	243	236	+7
13	Osasco	3	1	2	.333	237	254	−17
14	Pato	4	1	3	.250	296	330	−34
15	Botafogo	4	1	3	.250	323	339	−16
16	Caxias do Sul	4	0	4	.000	268	311	−43
17	Cearense	2	0	2	.000	132	191	−59
18	Sao Jose	3	0	3	.000	210	270	−60

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Paulistano host Bauru in the NBB on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.