Pato vs Botafogo prediction
Pato
22
16
27
24
Botafogo
26
22
13
27
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 82%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Pato8978Botafogo8874Pato8978Botafogo8874Total 152 Margin PAT by 4 Win PAT 63% Actual 177 · PAT won
Pato
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Botafogo
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Pato vs Botafogo
Pato
Botafogo
Last 30 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions
Pato at home, last 21 games · Botafogo away, last 21
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Pato 1, Botafogo 1.
- Average total 158.5 points per meeting
- Over 157.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting PAT by 26 Feb 12, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 12, 2026 NBB Pato 93–67 Botafogo 160 pts
- Nov 7, 2025 NBB Botafogo 82–75 Pato 157 pts
Last five games
Pato
0-5 - Oct 21: Pato 74, Paulistano 80. Lost. Odds: Pato 3.20, Paulistano 1.18.
- Apr 18: Paulistano 92, Pato 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 16: Pinheiros 88, Pato 55. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 11: Osasco 77, Pato 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 9: Franca 100, Pato 64. Lost. No odds on record.
Botafogo
0-5 - Oct 20: Flamengo 81, Botafogo 71. Lost. Odds: Flamengo 1.02, Botafogo 10.30.
- Apr 27: Botafogo 78, Franca 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Botafogo 79, Franca 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 22: Franca 94, Botafogo 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Vasco 104, Botafogo 86. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 10+ straight losses for Pato coming into this game.
- 7-game losing streak for Botafogo coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Botafogo dropped from 2.05 to 1.74 since they were first published.
- 14th vs 15th in the NBB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PAT moneyline | 1.64 | moved up 1.95 |
| BOT moneyline | 2.05 | moved down 1.74 |
| Total points | 157.5 | 157.5 |
| PAT spread | −2.5 | moved up +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minas |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 352 | 263 | +89 |
| 2 |  Brasilia |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 345 | 345 | 0 |
| 3 |  Unifacisa |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 344 | 296 | +48 |
| 4 |  Mogi |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 315 | 294 | +21 |
| 5 |  Flamengo |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 322 | 277 | +45 |
| 6 |  Pinheiros |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 327 | 281 | +46 |
| 7 |  Paulistano |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 302 | −1 |
| 8 |  Franca |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 290 | 276 | +14 |
| 9 |  Cruzeiro |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 302 | 301 | +1 |
| 10 |  Bauru |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 301 | 311 | −10 |
| 11 |  Uniao Corinthians |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 369 | 400 | −31 |
| 12 |  Corinthians Paulista |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 243 | 236 | +7 |
| 13 |  Osasco |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 237 | 254 | −17 |
| 14 | Pato |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 296 | 330 | −34 |
| 15 | Botafogo |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 323 | 339 | −16 |
| 16 |  Caxias do Sul |
4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 268 | 311 | −43 |
| 17 |  Cearense |
2 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 132 | 191 | −59 |
| 18 |  Sao Jose |
3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 210 | 270 | −60 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Pato host Botafogo in the NBB on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.