Parnu vs Neftchi IK Prediction & Odds

FIBA Europe Cup Wednesday, September 30, 2026Wed, Sep 30 Start12:00ET Final

ParnuHome · 1-3 · 5th · 1.55

7319211716

Neftchi IKAway · 0-4 · 6th · 2.27

6119171312

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Parnu 19 21 17 16

Neftchi IK 19 17 13 12

FT Parnu SpordihallParnu Spordihall · Final

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.55 54%

Parnu to win edge −3.4%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.55 Parnu to win Confidence54% model 53.1% · market 56.5% edge −3.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 52%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.55 53.1% 56.5% −3.4% 54% Won

Total points O159.5 1.80 48.9% 51.5% −2.6% 51% Lost

Point spread PAR -2.5 1.83 48.1% 50.0% −1.9% 51% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Parnu7385

Neftchi IK6179

Total 164 actual 134

Winning margin PAR by 6 actual PAR by 12

Chance to win PAR 63% PAR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Parnu7385

Neftchi IK6179

Total 164 Margin PAR by 6 Win PAR 63% Actual 134 · PAR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 7+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Parnu large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Neftchi IK

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Parnu vs Neftchi IK

Parnu Neftchi IK

Last 12 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Parnu 2-3

Sep 26: Parnu 76, BK Liepaja 73. Won. Odds: Parnu 1.57, BK Liepaja 2.29.
Sep 23: Neftchi IK 80, Parnu 67. Lost. Odds: Neftchi IK 1.26, Parnu 3.40.
Mar 23: Parnu 88, Tartu Ulikool 89. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 20: Tartu Ulikool 80, Parnu 71. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 11: Parnu 88, Viimsi 75. Won. No odds on record.

Neftchi IK 3-2

Sep 23: Neftchi IK 80, Parnu 67. Won. Odds: Neftchi IK 1.26, Parnu 3.40.
Nov 19, 2025: Neftchi IK 86, Absheron Lions 95. Lost. No odds on record.
Nov 12, 2025: BC Kalev/Cramo 88, Neftchi IK 82. Lost. No odds on record.
Nov 5, 2025: Neftchi IK 92, Trefl Sopot 87. Won. No odds on record.
Oct 29, 2025: Absheron Lions 86, Neftchi IK 104. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
PAR moneyline	1.62	moved down 1.55
NEF moneyline	2.10	moved up 2.27
Total points	160.5	160.5
PAR spread · regulation	−2.5	−2.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

FIBA Europe Cup standings

Regular Season · Group D

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Nancy	4	3	1	7	336	276	+60
2	Szczecin	4	3	1	7	349	329	+20
3	Keravnos	4	3	1	7	326	309	+17
4	Vienna Basket	4	1	3	5	313	330	−17
5	Parnu	4	1	3	5	297	323	−26
6	Nitra Blue Wings	4	1	3	5	301	355	−54

Regular Season · Group H

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Mykonos	4	4	0	8	335	295	+40
2	CSM Oradea	4	3	1	7	353	313	+40
3	VEF Riga	4	2	2	6	388	360	+28
4	Lok. Plovdiv	4	2	2	6	341	344	−3
5	Fribourg Olympic	4	1	3	5	293	341	−48
6	Neftchi IK	4	0	4	4	308	365	−57

Second stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Parnu host Neftchi IK in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.