Paris vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Odds

EuroLeague Wednesday, October 14, 2026Wed, Oct 14 Start14:45ET Round 5

ParisHome · 3-6 · 16th · 1.65

9426122729

Virtus BolognaAway · 4-5 · 13th · 2.07

9626201832

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Paris 26 12 27 29

Virtus Bologna 26 20 18 32

FT Adidas ArenaAdidas Arena · Round 5

Best tip of the game

Total points Lost

U181.5 1.67 63%

Under 181.5 points edge +0.9%

Best tip of the game Total points · Lost U181.5 1.67 Under 181.5 points Confidence63% model 62.8% · market 61.9% edge +0.9%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.65 58.1% 60.3% −2.2% 58% Lost

Total points U181.5 1.67 62.8% 61.9% +0.9% 63% Lost

Point spread VIR +5.5 1.57 58.2% 50.5% +7.7% 58% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Paris9489

Virtus Bologna9686

Total 175 actual 190

Winning margin PAR by 3 actual VIR by 2

Chance to win PAR 58% VIR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Paris9489

Virtus Bologna9686

Total 175 Margin PAR by 3 Win PAR 58% Actual 190 · VIR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 8+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Paris large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Virtus Bologna

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Paris vs Virtus Bologna

Paris Virtus Bologna

Last 17 and 15 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Paris 3-2

Oct 11: Paris 98, Strasbourg 84. Won. Odds: Paris 1.12, Strasbourg 5.55.
Oct 7: Paris 96, Lyon-Villeurbanne 98. Lost. Odds: Paris 1.51, Lyon-Villeurbanne 2.56.
Oct 4: Le Mans 101, Paris 103. Won. Odds: Le Mans 2.18, Paris 1.65.
Oct 1: Paris 82, Zalgiris Kaunas 78. Won. Odds: Paris 2.54, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.52.
Sep 29: Paris 79, Partizan Mozzart Bet 92. Lost. Odds: Paris 1.65, Partizan Mozzart Bet 2.25.

Virtus Bologna 4-1

Oct 11: Venezia 86, Virtus Bologna 93. Won. Odds: Venezia 1.75, Virtus Bologna 1.90.
Oct 8: Bayern 87, Virtus Bologna 94. Won. Odds: Bayern 1.41, Virtus Bologna 2.92.
Oct 4: Virtus Bologna 98, Maxima Roma 89. Won. Odds: Virtus Bologna 1.26, Maxima Roma 3.62.
Oct 1: Virtus Bologna 96, Olympiacos 94. Won. Odds: Virtus Bologna 4.50, Olympiacos 1.20.
Sep 29: Olimpia Milano 87, Virtus Bologna 85. Lost. Odds: Olimpia Milano 1.37, Virtus Bologna 3.08.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
PAR moneyline	1.42	moved up 1.65
VIR moneyline	2.70	moved down 2.07
Total points	171.5	moved up 178.5
PAR spread	−5.5	moved up −2.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

EuroLeague standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Panathinaikos	9	7	2	.778	761	675	+86
2	Olympiacos	9	7	2	.778	790	739	+51
3	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	9	6	3	.667	763	683	+80
4	Real Madrid	9	6	3	.667	866	792	+74
5	Valencia	9	6	3	.667	867	806	+61
6	Hapoel Tel Aviv	9	6	3	.667	831	786	+45
7	Fenerbahce	9	6	3	.667	719	689	+30
8	Barcelona	9	6	3	.667	809	784	+25
9	Dubai	9	6	3	.667	787	766	+21
10	Zalgiris Kaunas	9	5	4	.556	773	756	+17
11	Besiktas	9	4	5	.444	810	826	−16
12	Partizan Mozzart Bet	9	4	5	.444	696	715	−19
13	Virtus Bologna	9	4	5	.444	781	802	−21
14	Anadolu Efes	9	4	5	.444	752	776	−24
15	Lyon-Villeurbanne	9	4	5	.444	788	831	−43
16	Paris	9	3	6	.333	795	836	−41
17	Maccabi Tel Aviv	9	2	7	.222	780	852	−72
18	Bayern	9	2	7	.222	769	850	−81
19	Olimpia Milano	9	1	8	.111	738	812	−74
20	Baskonia	9	1	8	.111	748	847	−99

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Paris host Virtus Bologna in the EuroLeague on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.