Paris vs Valencia prediction
Paris
26
28
16
23
Valencia
32
25
26
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Paris9392Valencia10493Paris9392Valencia10493Total 185 Margin VAL by 1 Win PAR 50% Actual 197 · VAL won
Paris
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Valencia
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Paris vs Valencia
Paris
Valencia
Last 17 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions
Paris at home, last 9 games · Valencia away, last 7
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Paris 1, Valencia 1.
- Average total 179.0 points per meeting
- Over 186.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VAL by 14 Jan 20, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 20, 2026 EuroLeague Valencia 98–84 Paris 182 pts
- Nov 13, 2025 EuroLeague Paris 90–86 Valencia 176 pts
Last five games
Paris
2-3 - Oct 18: Paris 90, Boulazac 75. Won. Odds: Paris 1.10, Boulazac 6.50.
- Oct 16: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 90, Paris 81. Lost. Odds: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 1.26, Paris 3.50.
- Oct 14: Paris 94, Virtus Bologna 96. Lost. Odds: Paris 1.65, Virtus Bologna 2.07.
- Oct 11: Paris 98, Strasbourg 84. Won. Odds: Paris 1.12, Strasbourg 5.55.
- Oct 7: Paris 96, Lyon-Villeurbanne 98. Lost. Odds: Paris 1.51, Lyon-Villeurbanne 2.56.
Valencia
2-3 - Oct 18: Valencia 116, Murcia 93. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.20, Murcia 4.00.
- Oct 15: Valencia 88, Maccabi Tel Aviv 91. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.31, Maccabi Tel Aviv 3.38.
- Oct 13: Valencia 97, Olympiacos 102. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Valencia 2.05, Olympiacos 1.65.
- Oct 11: Barcelona 89, Valencia 86. Lost. Odds: Barcelona 1.65, Valencia 2.07.
- Oct 8: Valencia 93, Hapoel Tel Aviv 82. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.68, Hapoel Tel Aviv 2.20.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Valencia dropped from 1.62 to 1.46 since they were first published.
- 1-4 at home for Paris this season.
- Over/under moved up from 184.5 to 186.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.9 — Paris +4.1 per 100 possessions, Valencia +11.0.
- 16th vs 5th in the EuroLeague standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PAR moneyline | 2.15 | moved up 2.50 |
| VAL moneyline | 1.62 | moved down 1.46 |
| Total points | 184.5 | moved up 186.5 |
| PAR spread | +3.5 | moved up +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroLeague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos |
9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 761 | 675 | +86 |
| 2 |  Olympiacos |
9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 790 | 739 | +51 |
| 3 |  Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 763 | 683 | +80 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 866 | 792 | +74 |
| 5 | Valencia |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 867 | 806 | +61 |
| 6 |  Hapoel Tel Aviv |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 831 | 786 | +45 |
| 7 |  Fenerbahce |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 719 | 689 | +30 |
| 8 |  Barcelona |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 809 | 784 | +25 |
| 9 |  Dubai |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 787 | 766 | +21 |
| 10 |  Zalgiris Kaunas |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 773 | 756 | +17 |
| 11 |  Besiktas |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 810 | 826 | −16 |
| 12 |  Partizan Mozzart Bet |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 696 | 715 | −19 |
| 13 |  Virtus Bologna |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 781 | 802 | −21 |
| 14 |  Anadolu Efes |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 752 | 776 | −24 |
| 15 |  Lyon-Villeurbanne |
9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 788 | 831 | −43 |
| 16 | Paris |
9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 795 | 836 | −41 |
| 17 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv |
9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 780 | 852 | −72 |
| 18 |  Bayern |
9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 769 | 850 | −81 |
| 19 |  Olimpia Milano |
9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 738 | 812 | −74 |
| 20 |  Baskonia |
9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 748 | 847 | −99 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Paris host Valencia in the EuroLeague on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.