Paris vs Lyon-Villeurbanne Prediction & Odds

EuroLeague Wednesday, October 7, 2026Wed, Oct 7 Start14:45ET Round 4

ParisHome · 3-6 · 16th · 1.51

9621223419

Lyon-VilleurbanneAway · 4-5 · 15th · 2.56

9814322824

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Paris 21 22 34 19

Lyon-Villeurbanne 14 32 28 24

FT Adidas ArenaAdidas Arena · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

LYO +12.5 1.30 61%

Lyon-Villeurbanne +12.5 on the spread edge −12.4%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won LYO +12.5 1.30 Lyon-Villeurbanne +12.5 on the spread Confidence61% model 60.6% · market 73.0% edge −12.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.51 49.1% 67.5% −18.4% 51% Lost

Total points U187.5 1.22 74.7% 72.2% +2.5% 75% Lost

Point spread LYO +12.5 1.30 60.6% 73.0% −12.4% 61% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Paris9686

Lyon-Villeurbanne9882

Total 168 actual 194

Winning margin PAR by 4 actual LYO by 2

Chance to win PAR 59% LYO won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Paris9686

Lyon-Villeurbanne9882

Total 168 Margin PAR by 4 Win PAR 59% Actual 194 · LYO won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 6+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Paris large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Lyon-Villeurbanne

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Paris vs Lyon-Villeurbanne

Paris Lyon-Villeurbanne

Last 17 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Paris 3-2

Oct 4: Le Mans 101, Paris 103. Won. Odds: Le Mans 2.18, Paris 1.65.
Oct 1: Paris 82, Zalgiris Kaunas 78. Won. Odds: Paris 2.54, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.52.
Sep 29: Paris 79, Partizan Mozzart Bet 92. Lost. Odds: Paris 1.65, Partizan Mozzart Bet 2.25.
Sep 27: Nancy 73, Paris 78. Won. Odds: Nancy 3.12, Paris 1.34.
Sep 24: Panathinaikos 91, Paris 72. Lost. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.23, Paris 4.05.

Lyon-Villeurbanne 3-2

Oct 4: Gravelines-Dunkerque 65, Lyon-Villeurbanne 70. Won. Odds: Gravelines-Dunkerque 3.29, Lyon-Villeurbanne 1.31.
Oct 2: Lyon-Villeurbanne 92, Valencia 105. Lost. Odds: Lyon-Villeurbanne 2.45, Valencia 1.56.
Sep 30: Panathinaikos 102, Lyon-Villeurbanne 79. Lost. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.14, Lyon-Villeurbanne 5.56.
Sep 27: Cholet 85, Lyon-Villeurbanne 97. Won. Odds: Cholet 2.18, Lyon-Villeurbanne 1.65.
Sep 24: Lyon-Villeurbanne 84, Maccabi Tel Aviv 74. Won. Odds: Lyon-Villeurbanne 2.36, Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.59.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
PAR moneyline	1.37	moved up 1.51
LYO moneyline	2.85	moved down 2.56
Total points	176.5	moved down 173.5
PAR spread	−5.5	−5.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

EuroLeague standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Panathinaikos	9	7	2	.778	761	675	+86
2	Olympiacos	9	7	2	.778	790	739	+51
3	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	9	6	3	.667	763	683	+80
4	Real Madrid	9	6	3	.667	866	792	+74
5	Valencia	9	6	3	.667	867	806	+61
6	Hapoel Tel Aviv	9	6	3	.667	831	786	+45
7	Fenerbahce	9	6	3	.667	719	689	+30
8	Barcelona	9	6	3	.667	809	784	+25
9	Dubai	9	6	3	.667	787	766	+21
10	Zalgiris Kaunas	9	5	4	.556	773	756	+17
11	Besiktas	9	4	5	.444	810	826	−16
12	Partizan Mozzart Bet	9	4	5	.444	696	715	−19
13	Virtus Bologna	9	4	5	.444	781	802	−21
14	Anadolu Efes	9	4	5	.444	752	776	−24
15	Lyon-Villeurbanne	9	4	5	.444	788	831	−43
16	Paris	9	3	6	.333	795	836	−41
17	Maccabi Tel Aviv	9	2	7	.222	780	852	−72
18	Bayern	9	2	7	.222	769	850	−81
19	Olimpia Milano	9	1	8	.111	738	812	−74
20	Baskonia	9	1	8	.111	748	847	−99

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Paris host Lyon-Villeurbanne in the EuroLeague on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.