Pardubice vs Plzen prediction
Pardubice
21
24
34
19
Plzen
21
18
12
23
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 84%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Pardubice9890Plzen7474Pardubice9890Plzen7474Total 164 Margin PAR by 16 Win PAR 80% Actual 172 · PAR won
Pardubice
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Plzen
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Pardubice vs Plzen
Pardubice
Plzen
Last 13 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Pardubice at home, last 6 games · Plzen away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Pardubice
2-3 - Oct 25: Usti n. Labem 64, Pardubice 83. Won. Odds: Usti n. Labem 1.90, Pardubice 1.80.
- Oct 20: Pardubice 63, Unicaja 79. Lost. Odds: Pardubice 16.00, Unicaja 1.01.
- Oct 17: Pardubice 79, Decin 82. Lost. Odds: Pardubice 1.11, Decin 3.85.
- Oct 14: Pardubice 88, Olomoucko 61. Won. Odds: Pardubice –, Olomoucko 21.00.
- Oct 10: Slavia Prague ERA NBK 105, Pardubice 60. Lost. Odds: Slavia Prague ERA NBK 1.24, Pardubice 3.79.
Plzen
1-4 - Oct 25: Plzen 77, Hradec Kralove 84. Lost. Odds: Plzen 2.55, Hradec Kralove 1.38.
- Oct 16: Olomoucko 72, Plzen 81. Won. Odds: Olomoucko 1.26, Plzen 3.55.
- Oct 11: Plzen 69, Brno 83. Lost. Odds: Plzen 4.27, Brno 1.20.
- Oct 3: Opava 92, Plzen 82. Lost. Odds: Opava –, Plzen 16.30.
- Sep 30: Plzen 81, USK Prague 84. Lost. Odds: Plzen 8.32, USK Prague 1.05.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-1 at home for Pardubice this season.
- Over/under moved up from 166.5 to 169.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 25.4 — Pardubice +8.2 per 100 possessions, Plzen −17.2.
- 1-4 in the last five for Plzen.
- 2nd vs 12th in the NBL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PAR moneyline | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| PLZ moneyline | 9.00 | moved down 8.50 |
| Total points | 166.5 | moved up 169.5 |
| PAR spread | −28.5 | −28.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Prague ERA NBK |
9 | 8 | 1 | .889 | 893 | 722 | +171 |
| 2 | Pardubice |
11 | 9 | 2 | .818 | 985 | 862 | +123 |
| 3 |  Decin |
8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 683 | 602 | +81 |
| 4 |  Usti n. Labem |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 789 | 704 | +85 |
| 5 |  NH Ostrava |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 768 | 713 | +55 |
| 6 |  Srsni Pisek |
8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 714 | 691 | +23 |
| 7 |  USK Prague |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 837 | 857 | −20 |
| 8 |  Brno |
9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 728 | 763 | −35 |
| 9 |  Hradec Kralove |
9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 778 | 844 | −66 |
| 10 |  Opava |
9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 751 | 819 | −68 |
| 11 |  Olomoucko |
9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 585 | 789 | −204 |
| 12 | Plzen |
10 | 1 | 9 | .100 | 762 | 907 | −145 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Pardubice host Plzen in the NBL on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.