Pardubice vs Decin prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 165 Margin PAR by 3 Win PAR 56% Actual 161 · DEC won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Pardubice vs Decin
Last 13 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Pardubice at home, last 6 games · Decin away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Pardubice 4, Decin 0.
- Average total 184.0 points per meeting
- Over 165.5 4 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting PAR by 14 Mar 14, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 14, 2026 NBL Decin 76–90 Pardubice 166 pts
- Jan 24, 2026 NBL Pardubice 115–74 Decin 189 pts
- Dec 20, 2025 NBL Decin 87–92 Pardubice 179 pts
- Oct 18, 2025 NBL Pardubice 125–77 Decin 202 pts
Last five games
- Oct 14: Pardubice 88, Olomoucko 61. Won. Odds: Pardubice –, Olomoucko 21.00.
- Oct 10: Slavia Prague ERA NBK 105, Pardubice 60. Lost. Odds: Slavia Prague ERA NBK 1.24, Pardubice 3.79.
- Oct 6: Reggiana 82, Pardubice 65. Lost. Odds: Reggiana 1.18, Pardubice 4.50.
- Oct 3: Pardubice 110, NH Ostrava 98. Won. Odds: Pardubice 1.08, NH Ostrava 6.64.
- Sep 30: Srsni Pisek 82, Pardubice 92. Won. Odds: Srsni Pisek 2.51, Pardubice 1.48.
- Oct 10: Hradec Kralove 99, Decin 93. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Hradec Kralove 2.94, Decin 1.36.
- Oct 4: Olomoucko 51, Decin 76. Won. Odds: Olomoucko 2.63, Decin 1.45.
- Sep 30: Decin 86, Brno 78. Won. Odds: Decin 1.40, Brno 2.80.
- Sep 26: Opava 83, Decin 76. Lost. Odds: Opava 1.44, Decin 2.64.
- Sep 23: Decin 74, USK Prague 57. Won. Odds: Decin 1.75, USK Prague 2.01.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Pardubice dropped from 1.22 to 1.11 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Decin, 2 for Pardubice.
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Pardubice.
- 4-1 at home for Pardubice this season.
- Over/under moved up from 163.5 to 165.5 since it was first published.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PAR moneyline | 1.22 | moved down 1.11 |
| DEC moneyline | 4.02 | moved down 3.85 |
| Total points | 163.5 | moved up 165.5 |
| PAR spread | −12.5 | moved up −10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | .889 | 893 | 722 | +171 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | .818 | 985 | 862 | +123 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 683 | 602 | +81 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 789 | 704 | +85 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 768 | 713 | +55 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 714 | 691 | +23 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 837 | 857 | −20 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 728 | 763 | −35 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 778 | 844 | −66 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 751 | 819 | −68 | |
| 11 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 585 | 789 | −204 | |
| 12 | 10 | 1 | 9 | .100 | 762 | 907 | −145 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Pardubice host Decin in the NBL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.