Paralimni vs AEK Larnaca prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 168 Margin LAR by 8 Win LAR 73% Actual 159 · LAR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Paralimni vs AEK Larnaca
Last 24 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Paralimni at home, last 13 games · AEK Larnaca away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Paralimni 0, AEK Larnaca 3.
- Average total 161.3 points per meeting
- Over 162.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LAR by 16 Mar 26, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 26, 2026 Division A Paralimni 74–90 AEK Larnaca 164 pts
- Jan 23, 2026 Division A Paralimni 70–78 AEK Larnaca 148 pts
- Nov 8, 2025 Division A AEK Larnaca 90–82 Paralimni 172 pts
Last five games
- Oct 17: AEL 89, Paralimni 77. Lost. Odds: AEL 1.74, Paralimni 1.93.
- Oct 11: Paralimni 92, Anorthosis 79. Won. Odds: Paralimni 1.32, Anorthosis 3.00.
- Apr 8: Apoel BC 85, Paralimni 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 5: Paralimni 80, Apollon 87. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 31: AEL 99, Paralimni 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 21: AEK Larnaca 99, Tartu Ulikool 93. Won. Odds: AEK Larnaca 1.26, Tartu Ulikool 2.72.
- Oct 18: AEK Larnaca 83, Apoel BC 79. Won. Odds: AEK Larnaca 1.10, Apoel BC 4.85.
- Oct 14: Dziki Warszawa 94, AEK Larnaca 80. Lost. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 1.16, AEK Larnaca 4.88.
- Oct 11: Apollon 56, AEK Larnaca 90. Won. Odds: Apollon 4.65, AEK Larnaca 1.14.
- Oct 7: AEK Larnaca 73, Wurzburg 65. Won. Odds: AEK Larnaca 3.40, Wurzburg 1.26.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Paralimni, 2 for AEK Larnaca.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for AEK Larnaca.
- Net rating difference of 17.7 — Paralimni −3.5 per 100 possessions, AEK Larnaca +14.2.
- 4-1 in the last five for AEK Larnaca.
- 161.3 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 162.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PAR moneyline | 5.70 | moved down 5.40 |
| LAR moneyline | 1.09 | moved down 1.07 |
| Total points | 161.5 | moved up 162.5 |
| PAR spread | +14.5 | moved down +12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Division A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 345 | 270 | +75 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 370 | 303 | +67 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 307 | 276 | +31 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 274 | 290 | −16 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 243 | 218 | +25 | |
| 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 272 | 312 | −40 | |
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 243 | 253 | −10 | |
| 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 301 | 329 | −28 | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 221 | 268 | −47 | |
| 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 212 | 269 | −57 |
- Winners stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Paralimni host AEK Larnaca in the Division A on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.