PAOK vs Ulm prediction
PAOK
19
27
13
28
Ulm
20
22
13
23
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
PAOK8792Ulm7885PAOK8792Ulm7885Total 177 Margin PAO by 7 Win PAO 67% Actual 165 · PAO won
PAOK
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Ulm
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
PAOK vs Ulm
PAOK
Ulm
Last 12 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions
PAOK at home, last 4 games · Ulm away, last 7
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
PAOK
4-1 - Oct 17: Kolossos Rhodes 84, PAOK 88. Won. Odds: Kolossos Rhodes 3.60, PAOK 1.26.
- Oct 13: Lietkabelis 95, PAOK 86. Lost. Odds: Lietkabelis 4.11, PAOK 1.21.
- Oct 10: PAOK 86, Lefkadas 73. Won. Odds: PAOK 1.04, Lefkadas 7.30.
- Oct 6: KK Bosna 72, PAOK 75. Won. Odds: KK Bosna 5.00, PAOK 1.14.
- Oct 3: Mykonos 85, PAOK 88. Won. Odds: Mykonos 5.10, PAOK 1.14.
Ulm
1-4 - Oct 17: Ulm 98, Phoenix Hagen 107. Lost. Odds: Ulm 1.22, Phoenix Hagen 3.60.
- Oct 14: Ulm 102, KK Bosna 93. Won. Odds: Ulm 1.36, KK Bosna 2.75.
- Oct 10: Vechta 97, Ulm 92. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Vechta 2.31, Ulm 1.59.
- Oct 7: Manresa 101, Ulm 89. Lost. Odds: Manresa 1.40, Ulm 2.80.
- Oct 3: Syntainics MBC 89, Ulm 72. Lost. Odds: Syntainics MBC 2.18, Ulm 1.65.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 167.5 to 173.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last five for PAOK.
- 1-4 in the last five for Ulm.
- 4th vs 2nd in the EuroCup standings.
- Different pace — PAOK averaged 71.8 possessions per game, Ulm 78.3.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PAO moneyline | 1.05 | moved up 1.08 |
| ULM moneyline | 5.30 | moved up 7.00 |
| Total points | 167.5 | moved up 173.5 |
| PAO spread | −15.5 | moved up −13.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroCup standings
Regular Season · Group D
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bahcesehir Kol. |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 453 | 393 | +60 |
| 2 | Ulm |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 453 | 433 | +20 |
| 3 |  Manresa |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 451 | 435 | +16 |
| 4 | PAOK |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 422 | 407 | +15 |
| 5 |  Lietkabelis |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 389 | 393 | −4 |
| 6 |  KK Bosna |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 408 | 409 | −1 |
| 7 |  Monaco |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | — | — | 0 |
| 7 |  BC Roma |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 407 | 440 | −33 |
| 8 |  Balkan |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 335 | 408 | −73 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
PAOK host Ulm in the EuroCup on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.