PAOK vs AEK Athens Prediction & Odds

Basket League Saturday, October 24, 2026Sat, Oct 24 Start10:30ET Round 4

PAOKHome · 5-0 · 1st · 1.16

652052218

AEK AthensAway · 2-3 · 9th · 4.35

6215141518

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

PAOK 20 5 22 18

AEK Athens 15 14 15 18

FT P.A.O.K. Sports Arena · GreeceP.A.O.K. Sports Arena · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Total points Lost

O153.5 1.29 75%

Over 153.5 points edge +2.9%

Best tip of the game Total points · Lost O153.5 1.29 Over 153.5 points Confidence75% model 74.9% · market 72.0% edge +2.9%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.16 72.2% 76.5% −4.3% 72% Won

Total points O153.5 1.29 74.9% 72.0% +2.9% 75% Lost

Point spread ATH +14.5 1.51 52.9% 68.1% −15.2% 53% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

PAOK6587

AEK Athens6279

Total 166 actual 127

Winning margin PAO by 8 actual PAO by 3

Chance to win PAO 72% PAO won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

PAOK6587

AEK Athens6279

Total 166 Margin PAO by 8 Win PAO 72% Actual 127 · PAO won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 6+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

PAOK large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction AEK Athens

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

PAOK vs AEK Athens

PAOK AEK Athens

Last 12 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

PAOK 4-1

Oct 21: PAOK 87, Ulm 78. Won. Odds: PAOK 1.08, Ulm 7.00.
Oct 17: Kolossos Rhodes 84, PAOK 88. Won. Odds: Kolossos Rhodes 3.60, PAOK 1.26.
Oct 13: Lietkabelis 95, PAOK 86. Lost. Odds: Lietkabelis 4.11, PAOK 1.21.
Oct 10: PAOK 86, Lefkadas 73. Won. Odds: PAOK 1.04, Lefkadas 7.30.
Oct 6: KK Bosna 72, PAOK 75. Won. Odds: KK Bosna 5.00, PAOK 1.14.

AEK Athens 3-2

Oct 21: AEK Athens 76, Antwerp Giants 103. Lost. Odds: AEK Athens 1.36, Antwerp Giants 2.75.
Oct 17: AEK Athens 84, Mykonos 79. Won. Odds: AEK Athens 1.15, Mykonos 4.30.
Oct 10: Aris 88, AEK Athens 58. Lost. Odds: Aris 1.25, AEK Athens 3.30.
Oct 7: AEK Athens 95, Salon Vilpas 93. Won. Odds: AEK Athens 1.04, Salon Vilpas 9.00.
Oct 3: AEK Athens 91, Maroussi 70. Won. Odds: AEK Athens 1.25, Maroussi 3.70.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
PAO moneyline	1.19	moved down 1.16
ATH moneyline	3.98	moved up 4.35
Total points	164.5	164.5
PAO spread	−8.5	moved down −10.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Basket League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	PAOK	5	5	0	10	390	357	+33
2	Aris	5	4	1	9	419	352	+67
3	Olympiacos	5	5	0	10	432	326	+106
4	Peristeri	5	3	2	8	405	444	−39
5	AS Karditsas	5	3	2	8	357	356	+1
6	Panathinaikos	5	4	1	9	451	373	+78
7	Lefkadas	5	2	3	7	394	402	−8
8	Kolossos Rhodes	5	2	3	7	403	413	−10
9	AEK Athens	5	2	3	7	379	397	−18
10	Iraklis	5	1	4	6	367	379	−12
11	Maroussi	5	1	4	6	374	406	−32
12	Mykonos	5	1	4	6	377	412	−35
13	Vikos	5	1	4	6	381	431	−50
14	Promitheas	5	1	4	6	348	429	−81

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation - Elite League

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

PAOK host AEK Athens in the Basket League on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.