Panathinaikos vs Hapoel Tel Aviv prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 79%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 168 Margin PAN by 10 Win PAN 79% Actual 172 · HTA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Panathinaikos vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Last 15 games each with full stats · all competitions
Panathinaikos at home, last 11 games · Hapoel Tel Aviv away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Panathinaikos 1, Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.
- Average total 177.5 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HTA by 4 Apr 2, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 2, 2026 EuroLeague Hapoel Tel-Aviv 92–88 Panathinaikos 180 pts
- Dec 18, 2025 EuroLeague Panathinaikos 93–82 Hapoel Tel Aviv 175 pts
Last five games
- Oct 13: Partizan Mozzart Bet 55, Panathinaikos 72. Won. Odds: Partizan Mozzart Bet 2.75, Panathinaikos 1.45.
- Oct 10: Promitheas 59, Panathinaikos 84. Won. Odds: Promitheas 8.69, Panathinaikos 1.05.
- Oct 8: Panathinaikos 92, Fenerbahce 74. Won. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.47, Fenerbahce 2.71.
- Oct 4: Panathinaikos 103, Vikos 74. Won. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.01, Vikos 17.00.
- Oct 2: Panathinaikos 90, Maccabi Tel Aviv 67. Won. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.12, Maccabi Tel Aviv 5.25.
- Oct 14: Hapoel Tel Aviv 100, Besiktas 82. Won. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.35, Besiktas 3.16.
- Oct 11: Hapoel Beer Sheva 82, Hapoel Tel Aviv 95. Won. Odds: Hapoel Beer Sheva 6.33, Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.10.
- Oct 8: Valencia 93, Hapoel Tel Aviv 82. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.68, Hapoel Tel Aviv 2.20.
- Oct 3: Hapoel Tel Aviv 79, Nes Ziona 76. Won. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.14, Nes Ziona 5.34.
- Oct 1: Hapoel Tel Aviv 102, Real Madrid 98. Won. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 2.40, Real Madrid 1.57.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for Panathinaikos coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Panathinaikos dropped from 1.41 to 1.19 since they were first published.
- 6-1 at home for Panathinaikos this season.
- −14.5 points away — Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 98.8 at home and 84.3 away this season.
- 4-1 in the last five for Hapoel Tel Aviv.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PAN moneyline | 1.41 | moved down 1.19 |
| HTA moneyline | 3.00 | moved up 4.20 |
| Total points | 169.5 | 169.5 |
| PAN spread | −5.5 | moved down −9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroLeague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 761 | 675 | +86 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 790 | 739 | +51 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 763 | 683 | +80 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 866 | 792 | +74 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 867 | 806 | +61 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 831 | 786 | +45 | |
| 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 719 | 689 | +30 | |
| 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 809 | 784 | +25 | |
| 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 787 | 766 | +21 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 773 | 756 | +17 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 810 | 826 | −16 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 696 | 715 | −19 | |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 781 | 802 | −21 | |
| 14 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 752 | 776 | −24 | |
| 15 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 788 | 831 | −43 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 795 | 836 | −41 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 780 | 852 | −72 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 769 | 850 | −81 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 738 | 812 | −74 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 748 | 847 | −99 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Panathinaikos host Hapoel Tel Aviv in the EuroLeague on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.