Panathinaikos vs Fenerbahce Prediction & Odds

EuroLeague Thursday, October 8, 2026Thu, Oct 8 Start14:15ET Round 4

PanathinaikosHome · 7-2 · 1st · 1.47

9227192125

FenerbahceAway · 6-3 · 7th · 2.71

7424171419

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Panathinaikos 27 19 21 25

Fenerbahce 24 17 14 19

FT Telekom Center AthensTelekom Center Athens · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

PAN +4.5 1.23 85%

Panathinaikos +4.5 on the spread edge −2.6%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won PAN +4.5 1.23 Panathinaikos +4.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 69.8% · market 72.4% edge −2.6%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.47 59.3% 64.1% −4.8% 69% Won

Total points O152.5 1.27 68.3% 74.2% −5.9% 76% Won

Point spread PAN +4.5 1.23 69.8% 72.4% −2.6% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Panathinaikos9287

Fenerbahce7481

Total 168 actual 166

Winning margin PAN by 6 actual PAN by 18

Chance to win PAN 69% PAN won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Panathinaikos9287

Fenerbahce7481

Total 168 Margin PAN by 6 Win PAN 69% Actual 166 · PAN won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Panathinaikos large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Fenerbahce

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Panathinaikos vs Fenerbahce

Panathinaikos Fenerbahce

Last 15 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Panathinaikos 4-1

Oct 4: Panathinaikos 103, Vikos 74. Won. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.01, Vikos 17.00.
Oct 2: Panathinaikos 90, Maccabi Tel Aviv 67. Won. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.12, Maccabi Tel Aviv 5.25.
Sep 30: Panathinaikos 102, Lyon-Villeurbanne 79. Won. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.14, Lyon-Villeurbanne 5.56.
Sep 26: Panathinaikos 82, PAOK 84. Lost. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.29, PAOK 3.33.
Sep 24: Panathinaikos 91, Paris 72. Won. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.23, Paris 4.05.

Fenerbahce 4-1

Oct 4: Fenerbahce 85, Korfez Basket 84. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.13, Korfez Basket 5.74.
Oct 2: Fenerbahce 76, Dubai 66. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.44, Dubai 2.80.
Sep 29: Fenerbahce 100, Bayern 76. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.28, Bayern 3.58.
Sep 27: Bahcesehir Kol. 98, Fenerbahce 83. Lost. Odds: Bahcesehir Kol. 2.80, Fenerbahce 1.41.
Sep 25: Fenerbahce 78, Virtus Bologna 68. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.15, Virtus Bologna 5.30.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
PAN moneyline	1.47	1.47
FEN moneyline	2.50	moved up 2.71
Total points	164.5	moved down 163.5
PAN spread	−4.5	moved down −5.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

EuroLeague standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Panathinaikos	9	7	2	.778	761	675	+86
2	Olympiacos	9	7	2	.778	790	739	+51
3	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	9	6	3	.667	763	683	+80
4	Real Madrid	9	6	3	.667	866	792	+74
5	Valencia	9	6	3	.667	867	806	+61
6	Hapoel Tel Aviv	9	6	3	.667	831	786	+45
7	Fenerbahce	9	6	3	.667	719	689	+30
8	Barcelona	9	6	3	.667	809	784	+25
9	Dubai	9	6	3	.667	787	766	+21
10	Zalgiris Kaunas	9	5	4	.556	773	756	+17
11	Besiktas	9	4	5	.444	810	826	−16
12	Partizan Mozzart Bet	9	4	5	.444	696	715	−19
13	Virtus Bologna	9	4	5	.444	781	802	−21
14	Anadolu Efes	9	4	5	.444	752	776	−24
15	Lyon-Villeurbanne	9	4	5	.444	788	831	−43
16	Paris	9	3	6	.333	795	836	−41
17	Maccabi Tel Aviv	9	2	7	.222	780	852	−72
18	Bayern	9	2	7	.222	769	850	−81
19	Olimpia Milano	9	1	8	.111	738	812	−74
20	Baskonia	9	1	8	.111	748	847	−99

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Panathinaikos host Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.