Palencia vs Ourense Prediction & Odds — Oct 24

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Primera FEB Saturday, October 24, 2026Sat, Oct 24 Start13:00ET Round 5

PalenciaHome · 5-1 · 2nd · 1.06

8413222524

OurenseAway · 3-3 · 7th · 8.25

8025201619

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Palencia 13 22 25 24

Ourense 25 20 16 19

FT Spain Round 5

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

OUR +23.5 1.33 74%

Ourense +23.5 on the spread edge −8.7%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won OUR +23.5 1.33 Ourense +23.5 on the spread Confidence74% model 61.8% · market 70.5% edge −8.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.06 82.2% 87.6% −5.4% 85% Won

Total points U171.5 1.42 60.0% 65.6% −5.6% 65% Won

Point spread OUR +23.5 1.33 61.8% 70.5% −8.7% 74% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Palencia8488

Ourense8075

Total 163 actual 164

Winning margin PAL by 13 actual PAL by 4

Chance to win PAL 82% PAL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Palencia8488

Ourense8075

Total 163 Margin PAL by 13 Win PAL 82% Actual 164 · PAL won

Last five games

Palencia 3-2

Oct 18: Estudiantes 86, Palencia 77. Lost. Odds: Estudiantes 1.44, Palencia 2.62.
Oct 9: Palencia 91, Menorca 76. Won. Odds: Palencia 1.06, Menorca 7.50.
Oct 2: Palencia 70, Cordoba 67. Won. Odds: Palencia 1.04, Cordoba 9.28.
Sep 26: Albacete 69, Palencia 95. Won. Odds: Albacete 6.85, Palencia 1.08.
Jun 6: Leyma Coruna 92, Palencia 81. Lost. No odds on record.

Ourense 2-3

Oct 16: Ourense 79, Alicante 83. Lost. Odds: Ourense 1.80, Alicante 1.87.
Oct 10: Ourense 86, Estela 101. Lost. Odds: Ourense 1.63, Estela 2.19.
Oct 4: Gipuzkoa 86, Ourense 90. Won. Odds: Gipuzkoa 1.47, Ourense 2.55.
Sep 26: Ourense 91, Tizona Burgos 71. Won. Odds: Ourense 1.34, Tizona Burgos 3.03.
May 8: Ourense 70, Oviedo 74. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
PAL moneyline	1.03	moved up 1.06
OUR moneyline	7.50	moved up 8.25
Total points	162.5	moved up 164.5
PAL spread	−16.5	−16.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Primera FEB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Alicante	6	6	0	12	539	444	+95
2	Palencia	6	5	1	11	502	451	+51
3	Estudiantes	5	5	0	10	444	369	+75
4	Estela	6	4	2	10	496	476	+20
5	Granada	6	4	2	10	480	473	+7
6	Gran Canaria	5	4	1	9	457	361	+96
7	Ourense	6	3	3	9	509	498	+11
8	Caja 87	6	3	3	9	458	460	−2
9	Albacete	6	3	3	9	500	526	−26
10	Palmer Basket	5	3	2	8	439	429	+10
11	Oviedo	5	3	2	8	417	448	−31
12	Zamora	6	2	4	8	455	487	−32
13	Fuenlabrada	6	1	5	7	459	483	−24
14	Cordoba	5	2	3	7	358	388	−30
15	Tizona Burgos	6	1	5	7	525	570	−45
16	Fibwi Palma	6	1	5	7	479	526	−47
17	Menorca	6	0	6	6	420	476	−56
18	Gipuzkoa	5	1	4	6	400	472	−72

ACB
Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation - Segunda FEB

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Palencia host Ourense in the Primera FEB on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.