Ovarense vs FC Porto Prediction & Odds

LPB Saturday, October 31, 2026Sat, Oct 31 Start12:00ET Round 5

OvarenseHome · 4-1 · 1st · 3.10

7823151723

FC PortoAway · 4-1 · 2nd · 1.32

7612242020

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Ovarense 23 15 17 23

FC Porto 12 24 20 20

FT Arena de Ovar · PortugalArena de Ovar · Round 5

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Lost

2 1.32 52%

FC Porto to win edge −21.7%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 2 1.32 FC Porto to win Confidence52% model 50.9% · market 72.6% edge −21.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.32 50.9% 72.6% −21.7% 52% Lost

Total points O159.5 1.39 66.8% 65.2% +1.6% 75% Lost

Point spread OVA +9.5 1.55 71.4% 58.4% +13.0% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Ovarense7883

FC Porto7684

Total 167 actual 154

Winning margin POR by 1 actual OVA by 2

Chance to win POR 51% OVA won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Ovarense7883

FC Porto7684

Total 167 Margin POR by 1 Win POR 51% Actual 154 · OVA won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 7+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Ovarense large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction FC Porto

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Ovarense vs FC Porto

Ovarense FC Porto

Last 27 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Ovarense 3-2

Oct 24: Sporting CP 71, Ovarense 70. Lost. Odds: Sporting CP 1.30, Ovarense 2.80.
Oct 17: Ovarense 78, CD Povoa 69. Won. Odds: Ovarense 1.32, CD Povoa 2.47.
Oct 10: Vitoria 71, Ovarense 87. Won. Odds: Vitoria 1.82, Ovarense 1.65.
Oct 3: Ovarense 96, Braga 83. Won. Odds: Ovarense 1.36, Braga 2.92.
May 16: Ovarense 65, Oliveirense 69. Lost. No odds on record.

FC Porto 4-1

Oct 25: FC Porto 93, CAB Madeira 82. Won. Odds: FC Porto 1.03, CAB Madeira 6.60.
Oct 21: Bnei Herzliya 74, FC Porto 86. Won. Odds: Bnei Herzliya 1.45, FC Porto 2.60.
Oct 16: Esgueira 91, FC Porto 95. Won. Odds: Esgueira 10.50, FC Porto 1.02.
Oct 11: FC Porto 93, Benfica 86. Won. Odds: FC Porto 1.75, Benfica 1.95.
Oct 7: Bonn 78, FC Porto 74. Lost. Odds: Bonn 1.25, FC Porto 3.70.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
OVA moneyline	3.20	moved down 3.10
POR moneyline	1.27	moved up 1.32
Total points	166.5	166.5
OVA spread	+7.5	moved down +6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LPB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Ovarense	5	4	1	9	409	370	+39
2	FC Porto	5	4	1	9	467	430	+37
3	Benfica	5	4	1	9	437	375	+62
4	Braga	5	4	1	9	457	396	+61
5	Oliveirense	4	3	1	7	375	363	+12
6	Sporting CP	5	2	3	7	400	405	−5
7	Vitoria	4	2	2	6	300	328	−28
8	CD Povoa	4	2	2	6	297	291	+6
9	CAB Madeira	5	1	4	6	431	446	−15
10	CA Queluz	4	2	2	6	356	375	−19
11	Portimonense	5	0	5	5	380	443	−63
12	Esgueira	5	0	5	5	388	475	−87

Quarter-finals
Relegation - Proliga

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Ovarense host FC Porto in the LPB on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.