Ovarense vs CD Povoa Prediction & Odds

LPB Saturday, October 17, 2026Sat, Oct 17 Start13:00ET Round 3

OvarenseHome · 4-1 · 1st · 1.32

7817202516

CD PovoaAway · 2-2 · 8th · 2.47

6912172317

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Ovarense 17 20 25 16

CD Povoa 12 17 23 17

FT Arena de Ovar · PortugalArena de Ovar · Round 3

Best tip of the game

Total points Won

U169.5 1.40 75%

Under 169.5 points edge +9.8%

Best tip of the game Total points · Won U169.5 1.40 Under 169.5 points Confidence75% model 75.4% · market 65.6% edge +9.8%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 2.47 42.0% 29.1% +12.9% 51% Lost

Total points U169.5 1.40 75.4% 65.6% +9.8% 75% Won

Point spread POV +9.5 1.57 76.7% 57.7% +19.0% 67% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Ovarense7877

CD Povoa6980

Total 157 actual 147

Winning margin POV by 3 actual OVA by 9

Chance to win POV 57% OVA won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Ovarense7877

CD Povoa6980

Total 157 Margin POV by 3 Win POV 57% Actual 147 · OVA won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Ovarense large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction CD Povoa

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Ovarense vs CD Povoa

Ovarense CD Povoa

Last 27 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Ovarense 3-2

Oct 10: Vitoria 71, Ovarense 87. Won. Odds: Vitoria 1.82, Ovarense 1.65.
Oct 3: Ovarense 96, Braga 83. Won. Odds: Ovarense 1.36, Braga 2.92.
May 16: Ovarense 65, Oliveirense 69. Lost. No odds on record.
May 13: Oliveirense 90, Ovarense 72. Lost. No odds on record.
May 9: Ovarense 93, Oliveirense 79. Won. No odds on record.

CD Povoa 4-1

Oct 10: CD Povoa 73, CAB Madeira 69. Won. Odds: CD Povoa 1.38, CAB Madeira 2.81.
Oct 3: Esgueira 64, CD Povoa 84. Won. Odds: Esgueira 6.00, CD Povoa 1.10.
May 31: CD Povoa 90, CAB Madeira 72. Won. No odds on record.
May 30: CD Povoa 78, CAB Madeira 61. Won. No odds on record.
May 24: CAB Madeira 90, CD Povoa 72. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
OVA moneyline	1.29	moved up 1.32
POV moneyline	3.15	moved down 2.47
Total points	162.5	162.5
OVA spread	−7.5	moved up −6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LPB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Ovarense	5	4	1	9	409	370	+39
2	FC Porto	5	4	1	9	467	430	+37
3	Benfica	5	4	1	9	437	375	+62
4	Braga	5	4	1	9	457	396	+61
5	Oliveirense	4	3	1	7	375	363	+12
6	Sporting CP	5	2	3	7	400	405	−5
7	Vitoria	4	2	2	6	300	328	−28
8	CD Povoa	4	2	2	6	297	291	+6
9	CAB Madeira	5	1	4	6	431	446	−15
10	CA Queluz	4	2	2	6	356	375	−19
11	Portimonense	5	0	5	5	380	443	−63
12	Esgueira	5	0	5	5	388	475	−87

Quarter-finals
Relegation - Proliga

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Ovarense host CD Povoa in the LPB on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

Ovarense vs CD Povoa prediction