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Ourense vs Tizona Burgos prediction

Primera FEB Saturday, September 26, 2026Sat, Sep 26 Start13:00ET Round 1
OurenseHome · 3-3 · 7th · Moneyline odds down 1.34
911st quarter 312nd quarter 183rd quarter 224th quarter 20
Tizona BurgosAway · 1-5 · 15th · Moneyline odds up 3.03
711st quarter 152nd quarter 243rd quarter 174th quarter 15
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Ourense 31 18 22 20
Tizona Burgos 15 24 17 15
FT Spain Round 1
Best tip of the game
Moneyline Won
1 odds down 1.34 53% confidence
Ourense to win edge −10.2%
Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 odds down 1.34 Ourense to win Confidence53% model 51.3% · market 61.5% edge −10.2%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 1 odds down 1.34 51.3% 61.5% −10.2% 53% Won
Total points U169.5 1.83 55.2% 50.0% +5.2% 58% Won
Point spread TIZ +6.5 1.83 58.2% 50.0% +8.2% 67% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Ourense9184
Tizona Burgos7183
Total 167 actual 162
Winning margin OUR by 1 actual OUR by 20
Chance to win OUR 51% OUR won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Ourense9184
Tizona Burgos7183

Total 167 Margin OUR by 1 Win OUR 51% Actual 162 · OUR won

Ourense host Tizona Burgos in the Primera FEB on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.