Ourense vs Tizona Burgos prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 167 Margin OUR by 1 Win OUR 51% Actual 162 · OUR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Ourense vs Tizona Burgos
Last 5 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Ourense 2, Tizona Burgos 0.
- Average total 166.0 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting OUR by 2 Mar 14, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 14, 2026 Primera FEB Ourense 79–77 Tizona Burgos 156 pts
- Nov 23, 2025 Primera FEB Tizona Burgos 77–99 Ourense 176 pts
Last five games
- May 8: Ourense 70, Oviedo 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Melilla 84, Ourense 93. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Hestia Menorca 73, Ourense 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 21: Ourense 90, Palencia 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: Obradoiro CAB 94, Ourense 57. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 8: Tizona Burgos 93, Cartagena 80. Won. No odds on record.
- May 2: Alicante 92, Tizona Burgos 97. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Melilla 81, Tizona Burgos 96. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 21: Tizona Burgos 99, Obradoiro CAB 96. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 10: Tizona Burgos 76, Estudiantes 96. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Tizona Burgos coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Ourense dropped from 1.52 to 1.34 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.7 — Ourense −0.4 per 100 possessions, Tizona Burgos −8.1.
- 1-4 in the last five for Ourense.
- 7th vs 15th in the Primera FEB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OUR moneyline | 1.52 | moved down 1.34 |
| TIZ moneyline | 2.37 | moved up 3.03 |
| Total points | 169.5 | 169.5 |
| OUR spread | −6.5 | −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Primera FEB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 539 | 444 | +95 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 502 | 451 | +51 | |
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 444 | 369 | +75 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 496 | 476 | +20 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 480 | 473 | +7 | |
| 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 457 | 361 | +96 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 509 | 498 | +11 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 458 | 460 | −2 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 526 | −26 | |
| 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 439 | 429 | +10 | |
| 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 417 | 448 | −31 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 455 | 487 | −32 | |
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 459 | 483 | −24 | |
| 14 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 358 | 388 | −30 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 525 | 570 | −45 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 479 | 526 | −47 | |
| 17 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 420 | 476 | −56 | |
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 400 | 472 | −72 |
- ACB
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Segunda FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Ourense host Tizona Burgos in the Primera FEB on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.