Ourense vs Estela prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 82%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 158 Margin OUR by 6 Win OUR 64% Actual 187 · EST won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Ourense vs Estela
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Ourense 0, Estela 2.
- Average total 146.0 points per meeting
- Over 163.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting EST by 5 Apr 11, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 11, 2026 Primera FEB Ourense 67–72 Estela 139 pts
- Oct 25, 2025 Primera FEB Estela 87–66 Ourense 153 pts
Last five games
- Oct 4: Gipuzkoa 86, Ourense 90. Won. Odds: Gipuzkoa 1.47, Ourense 2.55.
- Sep 26: Ourense 91, Tizona Burgos 71. Won. Odds: Ourense 1.34, Tizona Burgos 3.03.
- May 8: Ourense 70, Oviedo 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Melilla 84, Ourense 93. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Hestia Menorca 73, Ourense 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 4: Fibwi Palma 76, Estela 88. Won. Odds: Fibwi Palma 2.69, Estela 1.43.
- Sep 26: Estela 69, Hestia Menorca 68. Won. Odds: Estela 1.50, Hestia Menorca 2.47.
- May 8: Palencia 100, Estela 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 2: Estela 65, Obradoiro CAB 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Zamora 86, Estela 89. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 7th vs 4th in the Primera FEB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OUR moneyline | 1.49 | moved up 1.63 |
| EST moneyline | 2.39 | moved down 2.19 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved down 163.5 |
| OUR spread | −4.5 | moved up −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Primera FEB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 539 | 444 | +95 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 502 | 451 | +51 | |
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 444 | 369 | +75 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 496 | 476 | +20 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 480 | 473 | +7 | |
| 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 457 | 361 | +96 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 509 | 498 | +11 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 458 | 460 | −2 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 526 | −26 | |
| 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 439 | 429 | +10 | |
| 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 417 | 448 | −31 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 455 | 487 | −32 | |
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 459 | 483 | −24 | |
| 14 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 358 | 388 | −30 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 525 | 570 | −45 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 479 | 526 | −47 | |
| 17 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 420 | 476 | −56 | |
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 400 | 472 | −72 |
- ACB
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Segunda FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Ourense host Estela in the Primera FEB on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.