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Ourense vs Estela prediction

Primera FEB Saturday, October 10, 2026Sat, Oct 10 Start13:00ET Round 3
OurenseHome · 3-3 · 7th · Moneyline odds up 1.63
861st quarter 282nd quarter 133rd quarter 204th quarter 25
EstelaAway · 4-2 · 4th · Moneyline odds down 2.19
1011st quarter 212nd quarter 313rd quarter 274th quarter 22
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Ourense 28 13 20 25
Estela 21 31 27 22
FT Spain Round 3
Best tip of the game
Point spread Lost
OUR +4.5 1.36 85% confidence
Ourense +4.5 on the spread edge +0.4%
Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost OUR +4.5 1.36 Ourense +4.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 73.1% · market 72.7% edge +0.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 82%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 1 odds up 1.63 63.5% 62.8% +0.7% 77% Lost
Total points U170.5 odds up 1.42 76.9% 65.4% +11.5% 85% Lost
Point spread OUR +4.5 1.36 73.1% 72.7% +0.4% 85% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Ourense8682
Estela10176
Total 158 actual 187
Winning margin OUR by 6 actual EST by 15
Chance to win OUR 64% EST won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Ourense8682
Estela10176

Total 158 Margin OUR by 6 Win OUR 64% Actual 187 · EST won

Ourense host Estela in the Primera FEB on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.