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Ourense vs Alicante prediction

Primera FEB Friday, October 16, 2026Fri, Oct 16 Start15:00ET Round 4
OurenseHome · 3-3 · 7th · Moneyline odds up 1.80
791st quarter 162nd quarter 223rd quarter 224th quarter 19
AlicanteAway · 6-0 · 1st · Moneyline odds down 1.87
831st quarter 162nd quarter 163rd quarter 244th quarter 27
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Ourense 16 22 22 19
Alicante 16 16 24 27
FT Spain Round 4
Best tip of the game
Point spread Won
ALI +9.5 odds down 1.27 85% confidence
Alicante +9.5 on the spread edge +2.7%
Best tip of the game Point spread · Won ALI +9.5 odds down 1.27 Alicante +9.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 74.0% · market 71.3% edge +2.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 2 odds down 1.87 40.6% 45.5% −4.9% 51% Won
Total points U172.5 1.44 67.3% 64.9% +2.4% 76% Won
Point spread ALI +9.5 odds down 1.27 74.0% 71.3% +2.7% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Ourense7982
Alicante8383
Total 165 actual 162
Winning margin ALI by 1 actual ALI by 4
Chance to win ALI 51% ALI won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Ourense7982
Alicante8383

Total 165 Margin ALI by 1 Win ALI 51% Actual 162 · ALI won

Ourense host Alicante in the Primera FEB on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.