Ourense vs Alicante prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 165 Margin ALI by 1 Win ALI 51% Actual 162 · ALI won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Ourense vs Alicante
Last 5 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Ourense 1, Alicante 1.
- Average total 159.5 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting OUR by 6 Feb 7, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 7, 2026 Primera FEB Ourense 81–75 Alicante 156 pts
- Sep 27, 2025 Primera FEB Alicante 87–76 Ourense 163 pts
Last five games
- Oct 10: Ourense 86, Estela 101. Lost. Odds: Ourense 1.63, Estela 2.19.
- Oct 4: Gipuzkoa 86, Ourense 90. Won. Odds: Gipuzkoa 1.47, Ourense 2.55.
- Sep 26: Ourense 91, Tizona Burgos 71. Won. Odds: Ourense 1.34, Tizona Burgos 3.03.
- May 8: Ourense 70, Oviedo 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Melilla 84, Ourense 93. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 10: Alicante 84, Gran Canaria 74. Won. Odds: Alicante 3.02, Gran Canaria 1.35.
- Oct 3: Menorca 64, Alicante 81. Won. Odds: Menorca 1.59, Alicante 2.26.
- Sep 26: Alicante 96, Fuenlabrada 82. Won. Odds: Alicante 1.70, Fuenlabrada 2.08.
- May 22: Alicante 72, Estudiantes 113. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: Estudiantes 74, Alicante 67. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Alicante coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Alicante dropped from 2.08 to 1.87 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 164.5 to 166.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 24.2 — Ourense −0.4 per 100 possessions, Alicante +23.8.
- 7th vs 1st in the Primera FEB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OUR moneyline | 1.62 | moved up 1.80 |
| ALI moneyline | 2.08 | moved down 1.87 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved up 166.5 |
| OUR spread | −2.5 | moved up +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Primera FEB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 539 | 444 | +95 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 502 | 451 | +51 | |
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 444 | 369 | +75 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 496 | 476 | +20 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 480 | 473 | +7 | |
| 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 457 | 361 | +96 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 509 | 498 | +11 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 458 | 460 | −2 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 526 | −26 | |
| 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 439 | 429 | +10 | |
| 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 417 | 448 | −31 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 455 | 487 | −32 | |
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 459 | 483 | −24 | |
| 14 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 358 | 388 | −30 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 525 | 570 | −45 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 479 | 526 | −47 | |
| 17 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 420 | 476 | −56 | |
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 400 | 472 | −72 |
- ACB
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Segunda FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Ourense host Alicante in the Primera FEB on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.