Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 227 Margin MIN by 1 Win MIN 52% Actual 208 · MIN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Orlando Magic 2, Minnesota Timberwolves 0.
- Average total 231.5 points per meeting
- Over 234.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ORL by 12 Apr 8, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 8, 2026 NBA Orlando Magic 132–120 Minnesota Timberwolves 252 pts
- Mar 7, 2026 NBA Minnesota Timberwolves 92–119 Orlando Magic 211 pts
Last five games
- Oct 21: Orlando Magic 125, Atlanta Hawks 132. Lost. Odds: Orlando Magic 1.75, Atlanta Hawks 2.14.
- Oct 16: Orlando Magic 136, Miami Heat 115. Won. Odds: Orlando Magic 1.28, Miami Heat 2.95.
- Oct 13: Orlando Magic 132, Cleveland Cavaliers 116. Won. Odds: Orlando Magic 1.98, Cleveland Cavaliers 1.78.
- Oct 11: Cleveland Cavaliers 119, Orlando Magic 105. Lost. Odds: Cleveland Cavaliers 1.51, Orlando Magic 2.44.
- Oct 7: Memphis Grizzlies 118, Orlando Magic 122. Won. Odds: Memphis Grizzlies 2.01, Orlando Magic 1.75.
- Oct 21: Miami Heat 106, Minnesota Timberwolves 131. Won. Odds: Miami Heat 1.72, Minnesota Timberwolves 1.98.
- Oct 16: Chicago Bulls 133, Minnesota Timberwolves 116. Lost. Odds: Chicago Bulls 1.39, Minnesota Timberwolves 2.75.
- Oct 14: Minnesota Timberwolves 106, Detroit Pistons 128. Lost. Odds: Minnesota Timberwolves 1.50, Detroit Pistons 2.46.
- Oct 12: New York Knicks 104, Minnesota Timberwolves 122. Won. Odds: New York Knicks 1.86, Minnesota Timberwolves 1.88.
- Oct 10: Miami Heat 124, Minnesota Timberwolves 125. Won. Odds: Miami Heat 2.10, Minnesota Timberwolves 1.55.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved down from 237.5 to 234.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 18.7 — Orlando Magic −8.5 per 100 possessions, Minnesota Timberwolves +10.2.
- +12.2 points at home — Orlando Magic averaged 121.5 at home and 109.3 away this season.
- Different pace — Orlando Magic averaged 100.5 possessions per game, Minnesota Timberwolves 106.1.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ORL moneyline | 1.95 | moved down 1.85 |
| MIN moneyline | 1.80 | moved up 1.98 |
| Total points | 237.5 | moved down 234.5 |
| ORL spread | +1.5 | moved down −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 507 | 432 | +75 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 613 | 586 | +27 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 497 | 464 | +33 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 495 | 468 | +27 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 474 | 452 | +22 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 610 | 574 | +36 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 640 | 612 | +28 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 453 | 455 | −2 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 612 | 584 | +28 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 547 | 599 | −52 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 348 | 361 | −13 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 479 | 473 | +6 | |
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 454 | 480 | −26 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 386 | 444 | −58 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 530 | 621 | −91 |
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Orlando Magic host Minnesota Timberwolves in the NBA on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.