Opava vs Decin prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 170 Margin OPA by 16 Win OPA 83% Actual 159 · OPA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Opava vs Decin
Last 15 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Opava at home, last 10 games · Decin away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Opava 4, Decin 1.
- Average total 164.0 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting OPA by 8 Apr 11, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 11, 2026 NBL Decin 70–78 Opava 148 pts
- Feb 14, 2026 NBL Opava 95–80 Decin 175 pts
- Jan 21, 2026 Czech Cup Decin 88–90 Opava 178 pts
- Jan 19, 2026 Czech Cup Opava 80–72 Decin 152 pts
- Jan 10, 2026 NBL Opava 80–87 Decin 167 pts
Last five games
- Sep 23: Slavia Prague ERA NBK 114, Opava 81. Lost. Odds: Slavia Prague ERA NBK 1.04, Opava 9.47.
- Sep 19: Opava 77, NH Ostrava 89. Lost. Odds: Opava 1.22, NH Ostrava 3.95.
- Sep 14: Opava 99, Dziki Warszawa 116. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 6: Brno 101, Opava 102. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 4: Opava 96, Brno 65. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 23: Decin 74, USK Prague 57. Won. Odds: Decin 1.75, USK Prague 2.01.
- Sep 17: Plzen 79, Decin 109. Won. Odds: Plzen 8.60, Decin 1.02.
- May 11: Brno 98, Decin 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 8: Decin 81, Brno 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 5: Brno 75, Decin 65. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Opava coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Opava dropped from 1.66 to 1.44 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 13.8 — Opava −5.8 per 100 possessions, Decin +8.0.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Opava.
- 164.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 169.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OPA moneyline | 1.66 | moved down 1.44 |
| DEC moneyline | 2.16 | moved up 2.64 |
| Total points | 169.5 | 169.5 |
| OPA spread · regulation | +1.5 | moved down −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | .889 | 893 | 722 | +171 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | .818 | 985 | 862 | +123 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 683 | 602 | +81 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 789 | 704 | +85 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 768 | 713 | +55 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 714 | 691 | +23 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 837 | 857 | −20 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 728 | 763 | −35 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 778 | 844 | −66 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 751 | 819 | −68 | |
| 11 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 585 | 789 | −204 | |
| 12 | 10 | 1 | 9 | .100 | 762 | 907 | −145 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Opava host Decin in the NBL on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.