Omega-Tauras vs Kretinga prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 172 Margin OME by 10 Win OME 76% Actual 147 · KRE won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Omega-Tauras vs Kretinga
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
Omega-Tauras at home, last 4 games · Kretinga away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Omega-Tauras 0, Kretinga 3.
- Average total 173.3 points per meeting
- Over 173.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KRE by 5 Feb 22, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 22, 2026 NKL Kretinga 85–80 Omega-Tauras 165 pts
- Dec 4, 2025 NKL Omega-Tauras 88–90 OT Kretinga 178 pts · OT
- Nov 15, 2025 NKL Kretinga 96–81 Omega-Tauras 177 pts
Last five games
- Oct 29: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 82, Omega-Tauras 93. Won. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 1.91, Omega-Tauras 1.80.
- Oct 24: Omega-Tauras 74, Alytaus Patriotai 85. Lost. Odds: Omega-Tauras 1.20, Alytaus Patriotai 3.50.
- Oct 22: Vilkaviskis 82, Omega-Tauras 73. Lost. Odds: Vilkaviskis 1.93, Omega-Tauras 1.75.
- Oct 17: Suduva-Mantinga 82, Omega-Tauras 87. Won. Odds: Suduva-Mantinga 1.23, Omega-Tauras 3.75.
- Oct 15: Ukmerges Stekas 73, Omega-Tauras 87. Won. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 1.91, Omega-Tauras 1.75.
- Oct 29: Kretinga 79, Jurbarkas 86. Lost. Odds: Kretinga 4.10, Jurbarkas 1.14.
- Oct 24: Kretinga 85, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 101. Lost. Odds: Kretinga 1.62, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 2.20.
- Oct 22: Alytaus Patriotai 90, Kretinga 70. Lost. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 1.60, Kretinga 2.05.
- Oct 17: Kauno Atletas 72, Kretinga 84. Won. Odds: Kauno Atletas 2.65, Kretinga 1.43.
- Oct 15: Kretinga 83, Suduva-Mantinga 88. Lost. Odds: Kretinga 4.90, Suduva-Mantinga 1.13.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Kretinga coming into this game.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Kretinga.
- Net rating difference of 14.7 — Omega-Tauras +4.3 per 100 possessions, Kretinga −10.4.
- −8.8 points away — Kretinga averaged 84.8 at home and 76.0 away this season.
- 173.3 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 173.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OME moneyline | 1.25 | moved down 1.20 |
| KRE moneyline | 3.70 | moved down 3.50 |
| Total points | 174.5 | moved down 173.5 |
| OME spread | −7.5 | moved down −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Omega-Tauras host Kretinga in the NKL on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.