Omega-Tauras vs Alytaus Patriotai prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 176 Margin OME by 8 Win OME 70% Actual 159 · ALY won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Omega-Tauras vs Alytaus Patriotai
Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Omega-Tauras at home, last 4 games · Alytaus Patriotai away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 22: Vilkaviskis 82, Omega-Tauras 73. Lost. Odds: Vilkaviskis 1.93, Omega-Tauras 1.75.
- Oct 17: Suduva-Mantinga 82, Omega-Tauras 87. Won. Odds: Suduva-Mantinga 1.23, Omega-Tauras 3.75.
- Oct 15: Ukmerges Stekas 73, Omega-Tauras 87. Won. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 1.91, Omega-Tauras 1.75.
- Oct 10: Omega-Tauras 82, Plunges Olimpas 93. Lost. Odds: Omega-Tauras 1.35, Plunges Olimpas 2.94.
- Oct 8: Rytas 2 91, Omega-Tauras 99. Won. Odds: Rytas 2 2.15, Omega-Tauras 1.60.
- Oct 22: Alytaus Patriotai 90, Kretinga 70. Won. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 1.60, Kretinga 2.05.
- Oct 17: Silute 92, Alytaus Patriotai 77. Lost. Odds: Silute 1.35, Alytaus Patriotai 3.00.
- Oct 15: Alytaus Patriotai 110, Vytis VDU 105. After overtime. Won. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 2.25, Vytis VDU 1.57.
- Oct 10: Alytaus Patriotai 86, Kauno Atletas 75. Won. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 1.50, Kauno Atletas 2.37.
- Oct 8: Alytaus Patriotai 80, Suduva-Mantinga 87. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 6.70, Suduva-Mantinga 1.06.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5th vs 9th in the NKL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OME moneyline | 1.23 | moved down 1.20 |
| ALY moneyline | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Total points | 174.5 | moved down 173.5 |
| OME spread | −8.5 | −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Omega-Tauras host Alytaus Patriotai in the NKL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.