Olympiacos vs Fenerbahce prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 174 Margin OLY by 10 Win OLY 78% Actual 125 · FEN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Olympiacos vs Fenerbahce
Last 16 games each with full stats · all competitions
Olympiacos at home, last 7 games · Fenerbahce away, last 7
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Olympiacos 2, Fenerbahce 1.
- Average total 166.3 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting OLY by 18 May 22, 2026
Meetings
- May 22, 2026 EuroLeague Olympiacos 79–61 Fenerbahce 140 pts
- Mar 17, 2026 EuroLeague Olympiacos 104–87 Fenerbahce 191 pts
- Jan 6, 2026 EuroLeague Fenerbahce 88–80 Olympiacos 168 pts
Last five games
- Oct 18: Vikos 68, Olympiacos 79. Won. Odds: Vikos 10.75, Olympiacos 1.02.
- Oct 16: Barcelona 100, Olympiacos 105. After overtime. Won. Odds: Barcelona 2.50, Olympiacos 1.46.
- Oct 13: Valencia 97, Olympiacos 102. After overtime. Won. Odds: Valencia 2.05, Olympiacos 1.65.
- Oct 11: Olympiacos 99, Kolossos Rhodes 83. Won. Odds: Olympiacos 1.02, Kolossos Rhodes 11.30.
- Oct 9: Olympiacos 89, Anadolu Efes 66. Won. Odds: Olympiacos 1.16, Anadolu Efes 5.30.
- Oct 18: Fenerbahce 77, Petkim Spor 82. Lost. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.04, Petkim Spor 5.00.
- Oct 15: Fenerbahce 74, Partizan Mozzart Bet 65. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.14, Partizan Mozzart Bet 4.65.
- Oct 13: Fenerbahce 99, Zalgiris Kaunas 80. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.33, Zalgiris Kaunas 3.30.
- Oct 10: Cayirova 85, Fenerbahce 100. Won. Odds: Cayirova 3.70, Fenerbahce 1.12.
- Oct 8: Panathinaikos 92, Fenerbahce 74. Lost. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.47, Fenerbahce 2.71.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for Olympiacos coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Fenerbahce dropped from 2.37 to 1.86 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 174.5 to 166.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 10.4 — Olympiacos +16.6 per 100 possessions, Fenerbahce +6.2.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Olympiacos.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OLY moneyline | 1.52 | moved up 1.79 |
| FEN moneyline | 2.37 | moved down 1.86 |
| Total points | 174.5 | moved down 166.5 |
| OLY spread | −4.5 | moved up −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroLeague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 761 | 675 | +86 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 790 | 739 | +51 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 763 | 683 | +80 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 866 | 792 | +74 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 867 | 806 | +61 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 831 | 786 | +45 | |
| 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 719 | 689 | +30 | |
| 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 809 | 784 | +25 | |
| 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 787 | 766 | +21 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 773 | 756 | +17 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 810 | 826 | −16 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 696 | 715 | −19 | |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 781 | 802 | −21 | |
| 14 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 752 | 776 | −24 | |
| 15 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 788 | 831 | −43 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 795 | 836 | −41 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 780 | 852 | −72 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 769 | 850 | −81 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 738 | 812 | −74 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 748 | 847 | −99 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Olympiacos host Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.