Oliveirense vs Esgueira prediction
Oliveirense
23
32
24
25
Esgueira
24
8
20
28
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 76%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Oliveirense10487Esgueira8080Oliveirense10487Esgueira8080Total 167 Margin OLI by 7 Win OLI 66% Actual 184 · OLI won
Oliveirense
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Esgueira
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Oliveirense vs Esgueira
Oliveirense
Esgueira
Last 29 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions
Oliveirense at home, last 13 games · Esgueira away, last 13
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Oliveirense 1, Esgueira 1.
- Average total 179.0 points per meeting
- Over 164.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ESG by 5 Mar 21, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 21, 2026 LPB Esgueira 93–88 Oliveirense 181 pts
- Nov 15, 2025 LPB Oliveirense 100–77 Esgueira 177 pts
Last five games
Oliveirense
1-4 - Oct 17: Benfica 92, Oliveirense 67. Lost. Odds: Benfica 1.11, Oliveirense 3.90.
- Oct 3: Portimonense 82, Oliveirense 91. Won. Odds: Portimonense 5.10, Oliveirense 1.13.
- May 28: Oliveirense 78, Benfica 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 23: Benfica 86, Oliveirense 61. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 21: Benfica 98, Oliveirense 76. Lost. No odds on record.
Esgueira
0-5 - Oct 16: Esgueira 91, FC Porto 95. Lost. Odds: Esgueira 10.50, FC Porto 1.02.
- Oct 10: Sporting CP 88, Esgueira 60. Lost. Odds: Sporting CP 1.01, Esgueira 10.50.
- Oct 3: Esgueira 64, CD Povoa 84. Lost. Odds: Esgueira 6.00, CD Povoa 1.10.
- May 14: Esgueira 73, Sporting CP 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 10: Sporting CP 109, Esgueira 67. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Esgueira coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 13.4 — Oliveirense −0.8 per 100 possessions, Esgueira −14.2.
- 1-4 in the last five for Oliveirense.
- 5th vs 12th in the LPB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OLI moneyline | 1.03 | moved up 1.05 |
| ESG moneyline | 7.50 | moved down 5.90 |
| Total points | 165.5 | moved down 164.5 |
| OLI spread | −15.5 | moved up −14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LPB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ovarense |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 409 | 370 | +39 |
| 2 |  FC Porto |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 467 | 430 | +37 |
| 3 |  Benfica |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 437 | 375 | +62 |
| 4 |  Braga |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 457 | 396 | +61 |
| 5 | Oliveirense |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 363 | +12 |
| 6 |  Sporting CP |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 400 | 405 | −5 |
| 7 |  Vitoria |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 300 | 328 | −28 |
| 8 |  CD Povoa |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 297 | 291 | +6 |
| 9 |  CAB Madeira |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 431 | 446 | −15 |
| 10 |  CA Queluz |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 356 | 375 | −19 |
| 11 |  Portimonense |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 380 | 443 | −63 |
| 12 | Esgueira |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 388 | 475 | −87 |
- Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Proliga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Oliveirense host Esgueira in the LPB on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.