The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total Margin Win
Olimpico vs Penarol
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Olimpico 0, Penarol 2.
- Average total 159.5 points per meeting
- Over 159.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting PEN by 13 Feb 4, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 4, 2026 Liga A Olimpico 74–87 Penarol 161 pts
- Dec 10, 2025 Liga A Penarol 82–76 Olimpico 158 pts
Last five games
- Oct 20: San Martin 86, Olimpico 106. Won. Odds: San Martin 1.61, Olimpico 2.20.
- Oct 18: Regatas 80, Olimpico 83. Won. Odds: Regatas 1.28, Olimpico 3.40.
- Oct 12: Olimpico 93, Boca Juniors 80. Won. Odds: Olimpico 3.94, Boca Juniors 1.22.
- Oct 7: Olimpico 87, Atenas 91. Lost. Odds: Olimpico 2.09, Atenas 1.69.
- Oct 1: Olimpico 74, Platense 82. Lost. Odds: Olimpico 1.62, Platense 2.10.
- Oct 31: Quimsa 78, Penarol 73. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 27: Penarol 95, San Martin 76. Won. Odds: Penarol 1.20, San Martin 4.20.
- Oct 16: San Lorenzo 85, Penarol 92. Won. Odds: San Lorenzo 1.73, Penarol 1.97.
- Oct 14: Lanus 77, Penarol 84. Won. Odds: Lanus 1.90, Penarol 1.84.
- Sep 30: Penarol 62, Gimnasia 57. Won. Odds: Penarol 2.13, Gimnasia 1.66.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Olimpico coming into this game.
- 4-1 in the last five for Penarol.
- 5th vs 2nd in the Liga A standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OLI moneyline | 1.24 | moved up 1.29 |
| PEN moneyline | 3.50 | moved down 3.25 |
| Total points | 158.5 | moved up 159.5 |
| OLI spread | −7.5 | moved up −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1.000 | 506 | 443 | +63 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 406 | 373 | +33 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 434 | 419 | +15 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 610 | 583 | +27 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 443 | 419 | +24 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 403 | 394 | +9 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 373 | 371 | +2 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 529 | 510 | +19 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 482 | 482 | 0 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 200 | 190 | +10 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 576 | 590 | −14 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 606 | 632 | −26 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 492 | 513 | −21 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 244 | 252 | −8 | |
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 299 | 313 | −14 | |
| 16 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 305 | 323 | −18 | |
| 17 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 367 | 406 | −39 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 509 | 571 | −62 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Olimpico host Penarol in the Liga A on Monday, November 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

