Olimpia Milano vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Odds — Oct 25

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Lega A Sunday, October 25, 2026Sun, Oct 25 Start11:00ET Round 5

Olimpia MilanoHome · 3-2 · 6th · 1.60

942230151413

Virtus BolognaAway · 5-0 · 1st · 2.12

982017222217

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT

Olimpia Milano 22 30 15 14 13

Virtus Bologna 20 17 22 22 17

AOT Unipol Forum · ItalyUnipol Forum · Round 5

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

VIR +9.5 1.34 65%

Virtus Bologna +9.5 on the spread edge −7.3%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won VIR +9.5 1.34 Virtus Bologna +9.5 on the spread Confidence65% model 65.2% · market 72.5% edge −7.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 2.12 48.2% 46.2% +2.0% 51% Won

Total points O159.5 1.31 74.2% 70.6% +3.6% 65% Won

Point spread VIR +9.5 1.34 65.2% 72.5% −7.3% 65% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Olimpia Milano9486

Virtus Bologna9888

Total 174 actual 192

Winning margin VIR by 2 actual VIR by 4

Chance to win VIR 55% VIR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Olimpia Milano9486

Virtus Bologna9888

Total 174 Margin VIR by 2 Win VIR 55% Actual 192 · VIR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 12+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Olimpia Milano large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Virtus Bologna

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Olimpia Milano vs Virtus Bologna

Olimpia Milano Virtus Bologna

Last 16 and 15 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Olimpia Milano 2-3

Oct 22: Olimpia Milano 81, Barcelona 89. Lost. Odds: Olimpia Milano 1.67, Barcelona 2.05.
Oct 18: Basket Napoli 82, Olimpia Milano 98. Won. Odds: Basket Napoli 1.70, Olimpia Milano 1.95.
Oct 15: Olimpia Milano 97, Dubai 101. Lost. Odds: Olimpia Milano 2.05, Dubai 1.78.
Oct 13: Olimpia Milano 89, Real Madrid 98. Lost. Odds: Olimpia Milano 2.40, Real Madrid 1.57.
Oct 11: Olimpia Milano 106, Treviso 77. Won. Odds: Olimpia Milano 1.19, Treviso 4.51.

Virtus Bologna 4-1

Oct 21: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90, Virtus Bologna 81. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.27, Virtus Bologna 3.30.
Oct 18: Virtus Bologna 108, Scafati 83. Won. Odds: Virtus Bologna 1.08, Scafati 6.20.
Oct 16: Virtus Bologna 86, Baskonia 78. Won. Odds: Virtus Bologna 1.48, Baskonia 2.45.
Oct 14: Paris 94, Virtus Bologna 96. Won. Odds: Paris 1.65, Virtus Bologna 2.07.
Oct 11: Venezia 86, Virtus Bologna 93. Won. Odds: Venezia 1.75, Virtus Bologna 1.90.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
OLI moneyline	1.57	moved up 1.60
VIR moneyline	2.18	moved down 2.12
Total points	167.5	moved up 172.5
OLI spread	−3.5	−3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Lega A standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Virtus Bologna	5	5	0	1.000	487	421	+66
2	Basket Napoli	6	5	1	.833	565	517	+48
3	Treviso	6	5	1	.833	559	533	+26
4	Maxima Roma	6	4	2	.667	518	499	+19
5	Varese	6	4	2	.667	533	529	+4
6	Olimpia Milano	5	3	2	.600	453	411	+42
7	Trento	6	3	3	.500	477	497	−20
8	Verona	6	3	3	.500	538	543	−5
9	Venezia	6	3	3	.500	532	542	−10
10	Udine	6	3	3	.500	485	481	+4
11	Trieste	5	2	3	.400	445	426	+19
12	BC Roma	6	2	4	.333	601	579	+22
13	Reggiana	6	2	4	.333	494	503	−9
14	Tortona	6	1	5	.167	499	561	−62
15	Scafati	6	1	5	.167	482	553	−71
16	Cantu	5	0	5	.000	369	442	−73

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Olimpia Milano host Virtus Bologna in the Lega A on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.