Olimpia Milano vs Virtus Bologna prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 176 Margin OLI by 6 Win OLI 66% Actual 151 · OLI won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Olimpia Milano vs Virtus Bologna
Last 16 and 15 games with full stats · all competitions
Olimpia Milano at home, last 8 games · Virtus Bologna away, last 9
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Olimpia Milano 2, Virtus Bologna 3.
- Average total 186.8 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 5 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VIR by 4 Oct 25, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 25, 2026 Lega A Olimpia Milano 94–98 OT Virtus Bologna 192 pts · OT
- Sep 29, 2026 EuroLeague Olimpia Milano 87–85 Virtus Bologna 172 pts
- Mar 26, 2026 EuroLeague Olimpia Milano 103–87 Virtus Bologna 190 pts
- Mar 15, 2026 Lega A Virtus Bologna 104–94 Olimpia Milano 198 pts
- Jan 2, 2026 EuroLeague Virtus Bologna 97–85 Olimpia Milano 182 pts
Last five games
- Jun 18: Venezia 72, Olimpia Milano 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 16: Venezia 109, Olimpia Milano 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 13: Olimpia Milano 92, Venezia 79. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 11: Olimpia Milano 100, Venezia 80. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 5: Olimpia Milano 91, Brescia 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 6: Venezia 90, Virtus Bologna 83. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 4: Venezia 89, Virtus Bologna 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 1: Virtus Bologna 98, Venezia 79. Won. No odds on record.
- May 30: Virtus Bologna 83, Venezia 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 26: Virtus Bologna 106, Trento 95. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Virtus Bologna dropped from 3.00 to 2.40 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 166.5 to 169.5 since it was first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Virtus Bologna.
- 4-1 in the last five for Olimpia Milano.
- 186.8 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 169.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OLI moneyline | 1.34 | moved up 1.52 |
| VIR moneyline | 3.00 | moved down 2.40 |
| Total points | 166.5 | moved up 169.5 |
| OLI spread | −2.5 | moved down −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Olimpia Milano host Virtus Bologna in the Lega A - Super Cup on Saturday, September 19, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.