Olimpia Milano vs Treviso Prediction & Odds

Lega A Sunday, October 11, 2026Sun, Oct 11 Start10:00ET Round 3

Olimpia MilanoHome · 3-2 · 6th · 1.19

10627332026

TrevisoAway · 5-1 · 3rd · 4.51

7728112117

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Olimpia Milano 27 33 20 26

Treviso 28 11 21 17

FT Unipol Forum · ItalyUnipol Forum · Round 3

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

TRE +19.5 1.21 60%

Treviso +19.5 on the spread edge +21.1%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost TRE +19.5 1.21 Treviso +19.5 on the spread Confidence60% model 93.2% · market 72.1% edge +21.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 5.10 51.6% 17.3% +34.3% 51% Lost

Total points U180.5 1.28 74.9% 70.5% +4.4% 65% Lost

Point spread TRE +19.5 1.21 93.2% 72.1% +21.1% 60% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Olimpia Milano10684

Treviso7785

Total 169 actual 183

Winning margin TRE by 1 actual OLI by 29

Chance to win TRE 52% OLI won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Olimpia Milano10684

Treviso7785

Total 169 Margin TRE by 1 Win TRE 52% Actual 183 · OLI won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 8+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Olimpia Milano large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Treviso

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Olimpia Milano vs Treviso

Olimpia Milano Treviso

Last 16 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Olimpia Milano 2-3

Oct 8: Maccabi Tel Aviv 97, Olimpia Milano 79. Lost. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.45, Olimpia Milano 2.76.
Oct 5: Verona 75, Olimpia Milano 72. Lost. Odds: Verona 3.67, Olimpia Milano 1.26.
Oct 2: Baskonia 87, Olimpia Milano 76. Lost. Odds: Baskonia 1.95, Olimpia Milano 1.87.
Sep 29: Olimpia Milano 87, Virtus Bologna 85. Won. Odds: Olimpia Milano 1.37, Virtus Bologna 3.08.
Sep 27: Olimpia Milano 83, Trieste 79. Won. Odds: Olimpia Milano 1.06, Trieste 8.19.

Treviso 5-0

Oct 3: Trento 90, Treviso 93. Won. Odds: Trento 1.55, Treviso 2.38.
Sep 26: Treviso 109, BC Roma 94. Won. Odds: Treviso 2.36, BC Roma 1.56.
May 10: Treviso 78, Reggiana 77. Won. No odds on record.
May 3: Cantu 72, Treviso 80. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 26: Brescia 90, Treviso 99. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
OLI moneyline	1.18	moved up 1.19
TRE moneyline	4.30	moved up 4.51
Total points	170.5	170.5
OLI spread	−11.5	moved up −10.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Lega A standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Virtus Bologna	5	5	0	1.000	487	421	+66
2	Basket Napoli	6	5	1	.833	565	517	+48
3	Treviso	6	5	1	.833	559	533	+26
4	Maxima Roma	6	4	2	.667	518	499	+19
5	Varese	6	4	2	.667	533	529	+4
6	Olimpia Milano	5	3	2	.600	453	411	+42
7	Trento	6	3	3	.500	477	497	−20
8	Verona	6	3	3	.500	538	543	−5
9	Venezia	6	3	3	.500	532	542	−10
10	Udine	6	3	3	.500	485	481	+4
11	Trieste	5	2	3	.400	445	426	+19
12	BC Roma	6	2	4	.333	601	579	+22
13	Reggiana	6	2	4	.333	494	503	−9
14	Tortona	6	1	5	.167	499	561	−62
15	Scafati	6	1	5	.167	482	553	−71
16	Cantu	5	0	5	.000	369	442	−73

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Olimpia Milano host Treviso in the Lega A on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.