Olimpia Milano vs Real Madrid Prediction & Odds — Oct 13

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EuroLeague Tuesday, October 13, 2026Tue, Oct 13 Start14:30ET Round 5

Olimpia MilanoHome · 1-8 · 19th · 2.40

8925152722

Real MadridAway · 6-3 · 4th · 1.57

9821323114

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Olimpia Milano 25 15 27 22

Real Madrid 21 32 31 14

FT Unipol ForumUnipol Forum · Round 5

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

REA +5.5 1.23 79%

Real Madrid +5.5 on the spread edge +5.4%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won REA +5.5 1.23 Real Madrid +5.5 on the spread Confidence79% model 79.6% · market 74.2% edge +5.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.59 66.1% 63.0% +3.1% 66% Won

Total points O163.5 1.30 77.4% 73.1% +4.3% 77% Won

Point spread REA +5.5 1.23 79.6% 74.2% +5.4% 79% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Olimpia Milano8986

Real Madrid9892

Total 178 actual 187

Winning margin REA by 6 actual REA by 9

Chance to win REA 66% REA won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Olimpia Milano8986

Real Madrid9892

Total 178 Margin REA by 6 Win REA 66% Actual 187 · REA won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 7+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Olimpia Milano large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Real Madrid

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Olimpia Milano vs Real Madrid

Olimpia Milano Real Madrid

Last 16 and 15 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Olimpia Milano 2-3

Oct 11: Olimpia Milano 106, Treviso 77. Won. Odds: Olimpia Milano 1.19, Treviso 4.51.
Oct 8: Maccabi Tel Aviv 97, Olimpia Milano 79. Lost. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.45, Olimpia Milano 2.76.
Oct 5: Verona 75, Olimpia Milano 72. Lost. Odds: Verona 3.67, Olimpia Milano 1.26.
Oct 2: Baskonia 87, Olimpia Milano 76. Lost. Odds: Baskonia 1.95, Olimpia Milano 1.87.
Sep 29: Olimpia Milano 87, Virtus Bologna 85. Won. Odds: Olimpia Milano 1.37, Virtus Bologna 3.08.

Real Madrid 3-2

Oct 11: Real Madrid 120, Manresa 83. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.07, Manresa 7.70.
Oct 8: Real Madrid 86, Partizan Mozzart Bet 76. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.23, Partizan Mozzart Bet 4.04.
Oct 4: Obradoiro CAB 107, Real Madrid 114. After overtime. Won. Odds: Obradoiro CAB 4.70, Real Madrid 1.17.
Oct 1: Hapoel Tel Aviv 102, Real Madrid 98. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 2.40, Real Madrid 1.57.
Sep 29: Anadolu Efes 94, Real Madrid 84. Lost. Odds: Anadolu Efes 1.99, Real Madrid 1.83.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
OLI moneyline	2.37	moved up 2.40
REA moneyline	1.52	moved up 1.57
Total points	174.5	moved down 173.5
OLI spread	+4.5	+4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

EuroLeague standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Panathinaikos	9	7	2	.778	761	675	+86
2	Olympiacos	9	7	2	.778	790	739	+51
3	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	9	6	3	.667	763	683	+80
4	Real Madrid	9	6	3	.667	866	792	+74
5	Valencia	9	6	3	.667	867	806	+61
6	Hapoel Tel Aviv	9	6	3	.667	831	786	+45
7	Fenerbahce	9	6	3	.667	719	689	+30
8	Barcelona	9	6	3	.667	809	784	+25
9	Dubai	9	6	3	.667	787	766	+21
10	Zalgiris Kaunas	9	5	4	.556	773	756	+17
11	Besiktas	9	4	5	.444	810	826	−16
12	Partizan Mozzart Bet	9	4	5	.444	696	715	−19
13	Virtus Bologna	9	4	5	.444	781	802	−21
14	Anadolu Efes	9	4	5	.444	752	776	−24
15	Lyon-Villeurbanne	9	4	5	.444	788	831	−43
16	Paris	9	3	6	.333	795	836	−41
17	Maccabi Tel Aviv	9	2	7	.222	780	852	−72
18	Bayern	9	2	7	.222	769	850	−81
19	Olimpia Milano	9	1	8	.111	738	812	−74
20	Baskonia	9	1	8	.111	748	847	−99

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Olimpia Milano host Real Madrid in the EuroLeague on Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.