Oldenburg vs Phoenix Hagen prediction
Oldenburg
20
19
18
21
Phoenix Hagen
29
24
13
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 76%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Oldenburg7886Phoenix Hagen8785Oldenburg7886Phoenix Hagen8785Total 171 Margin OLD by 1 Win OLD 53% Actual 165 · PHO won
Oldenburg
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Phoenix Hagen
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Oldenburg vs Phoenix Hagen
Oldenburg
Phoenix Hagen
Last 8 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Oldenburg at home, last 5 games · Phoenix Hagen away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Oldenburg
4-1 - Oct 4: Bayern 113, Oldenburg 60. Lost. Odds: Bayern 1.10, Oldenburg 6.45.
- Sep 27: Oldenburg 75, Hamburg 74. Won. Odds: Oldenburg 1.35, Hamburg 3.09.
- Sep 25: Wurzburg 68, Oldenburg 77. Won. Odds: Wurzburg 1.50, Oldenburg 2.55.
- Sep 20: Oldenburg 96, Syntainics MBC 81. Won. Odds: Oldenburg 1.42, Syntainics MBC 2.70.
- Sep 13: Heidelberg 63, Oldenburg 82. Won. No odds on record.
Phoenix Hagen
1-4 - Oct 4: Phoenix Hagen 88, Frankfurt 93. Lost. Odds: Phoenix Hagen 2.03, Frankfurt 1.76.
- Sep 27: Chemnitz 94, Phoenix Hagen 93. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Chemnitz 1.19, Phoenix Hagen 4.49.
- Sep 25: Phoenix Hagen 78, Ulm 93. Lost. Odds: Phoenix Hagen 2.60, Ulm 1.47.
- Sep 19: Rostock 102, Phoenix Hagen 92. Lost. Odds: Rostock 1.17, Phoenix Hagen 4.50.
- Sep 10: Crailsheim Merlins 86, Phoenix Hagen 93. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Phoenix Hagen coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 6.3 — Oldenburg −8.9 per 100 possessions, Phoenix Hagen −2.6.
- 4-1 in the last five for Oldenburg.
- 13th vs 17th in the BBL standings.
- Different pace — Oldenburg averaged 70.8 possessions per game, Phoenix Hagen 77.0.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OLD moneyline | 1.32 | moved down 1.25 |
| PHO moneyline | 3.28 | moved up 3.76 |
| Total points | 170.5 | 170.5 |
| OLD spread | −8.5 | −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 566 | 422 | +144 |
| 2 |  Trier |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 597 | 524 | +73 |
| 3 |  Frankfurt |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 451 | 423 | +28 |
| 4 |  Syntainics MBC |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 507 | 479 | +28 |
| 5 |  Ludwigsburg |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 610 | 614 | −4 |
| 6 |  Wurzburg |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 497 | 481 | +16 |
| 7 |  Bamberg |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 616 | 594 | +22 |
| 8 |  Rostock |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 621 | 572 | +49 |
| 9 |  Bonn |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 512 | 485 | +27 |
| 10 |  Basketball Braunschweig |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 535 | 567 | −32 |
| 11 |  Alba Berlin |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 535 | −35 |
| 12 |  Ulm |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 573 | 594 | −21 |
| 13 | Oldenburg |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 521 | 584 | −63 |
| 14 |  Jena |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 536 | 618 | −82 |
| 15 |  Vechta |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 591 | 636 | −45 |
| 16 |  Chemnitz |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 607 | 621 | −14 |
| 17 | Phoenix Hagen |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 600 | 633 | −33 |
| 18 |  Hamburg |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 479 | 537 | −58 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Relegation - Pro A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Oldenburg host Phoenix Hagen in the BBL on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.