Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder
33
34
32
26
Phoenix Suns
27
26
32
29
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Oklahoma City Thunder125113Phoenix Suns114104Oklahoma City Thunder125113Phoenix Suns114104Total 217 Margin OKC by 9 Win OKC 72% Actual 239 · OKC won
Oklahoma City Thunder
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Phoenix Suns
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns
Oklahoma City Thunder
Phoenix Suns
Last 6 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Oklahoma City Thunder 4, Phoenix Suns 1.
- Average total 230.2 points per meeting
- Over 221.5 4 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting OKC by 9 Apr 27, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 27, 2026 NBA Phoenix Suns 122–131 Oklahoma City Thunder 253 pts
- Apr 25, 2026 NBA Phoenix Suns 109–121 Oklahoma City Thunder 230 pts
- Apr 22, 2026 NBA Oklahoma City Thunder 120–107 Phoenix Suns 227 pts
- Apr 19, 2026 NBA Oklahoma City Thunder 119–84 Phoenix Suns 203 pts
- Apr 12, 2026 NBA Oklahoma City Thunder 103–135 Phoenix Suns 238 pts
Last five games
Oklahoma City Thunder
4-1 - Oct 25: Oklahoma City Thunder 108, Los Angeles Clippers 101. Won. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.07, Los Angeles Clippers 9.50.
- Oct 22: Oklahoma City Thunder 96, Denver Nuggets 84. Won. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.30, Denver Nuggets 3.65.
- Oct 20: San Antonio Spurs 104, Oklahoma City Thunder 116. Won. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.97, Oklahoma City Thunder 1.85.
- Oct 15: Houston Rockets 116, Oklahoma City Thunder 89. Lost. Odds: Houston Rockets 2.11, Oklahoma City Thunder 1.68.
- Oct 13: Oklahoma City Thunder 114, Indiana Pacers 112. After overtime. Won. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.40, Indiana Pacers 2.80.
Phoenix Suns
2-3 - Oct 24: Phoenix Suns 131, Golden State Warriors 122. Won. Odds: Phoenix Suns 1.23, Golden State Warriors 4.35.
- Oct 21: Portland Trail Blazers 124, Phoenix Suns 83. Lost. Odds: Portland Trail Blazers 1.62, Phoenix Suns 2.36.
- Oct 16: Phoenix Suns 116, Utah Jazz 119. Lost. Odds: Phoenix Suns 1.50, Utah Jazz 2.40.
- Oct 14: San Antonio Spurs 123, Phoenix Suns 103. Lost. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.20, Phoenix Suns 4.30.
- Oct 10: Phoenix Suns 102, San Antonio Spurs 98. Won. Odds: Phoenix Suns 3.02, San Antonio Spurs 1.35.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Oklahoma City Thunder coming into this game.
- 0-5 away for Phoenix Suns this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Oklahoma City Thunder.
- +10.4 points at home — Oklahoma City Thunder averaged 113.2 at home and 102.8 away this season.
- 230.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 221.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OKC moneyline | 1.29 | moved up 1.30 |
| PHX moneyline | 3.80 | moved down 3.65 |
| Total points | 221.5 | 221.5 |
| OKC spread | −8.5 | −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 |  Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 | Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 | Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Oklahoma City Thunder host Phoenix Suns in the NBA on Monday, October 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.