Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder
34
33
26
17
New Orleans Pelicans
28
24
38
26
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 89%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Oklahoma City Thunder110125New Orleans Pelicans116112Oklahoma City Thunder110125New Orleans Pelicans116112Total 237 Margin OKC by 13 Win OKC 75% Actual 226 · NOP won
Oklahoma City Thunder
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction New Orleans Pelicans
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans
Oklahoma City Thunder
New Orleans Pelicans
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Oklahoma City Thunder 3, New Orleans Pelicans 0.
- Average total 225.7 points per meeting
- Over 223.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting OKC by 9 Jan 27, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 27, 2026 NBA Oklahoma City Thunder 104–95 New Orleans Pelicans 199 pts
- Nov 17, 2025 NBA New Orleans Pelicans 109–126 Oklahoma City Thunder 235 pts
- Nov 2, 2025 NBA Oklahoma City Thunder 137–106 New Orleans Pelicans 243 pts
Last five games
Oklahoma City Thunder
2-3 - May 30: Oklahoma City Thunder 103, San Antonio Spurs 111. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 28: San Antonio Spurs 118, Oklahoma City Thunder 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 26: Oklahoma City Thunder 127, San Antonio Spurs 114. Won. No odds on record.
- May 24: San Antonio Spurs 103, Oklahoma City Thunder 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 22: San Antonio Spurs 108, Oklahoma City Thunder 123. Won. No odds on record.
New Orleans Pelicans
1-4 - Apr 12: Minnesota Timberwolves 132, New Orleans Pelicans 126. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 10: Boston Celtics 144, New Orleans Pelicans 118. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 7: New Orleans Pelicans 156, Utah Jazz 137. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 5: New Orleans Pelicans 108, Orlando Magic 112. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 3: Sacramento Kings 117, New Orleans Pelicans 113. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on New Orleans Pelicans dropped from 3.35 to 1.85 since they were first published.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Oklahoma City Thunder.
- +10.4 points at home — Oklahoma City Thunder averaged 113.2 at home and 102.8 away this season.
- 1-4 in the last five for New Orleans Pelicans.
- 225.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 223.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OKC moneyline | 1.31 | moved up 1.95 |
| NOP moneyline | 3.35 | moved down 1.85 |
| Total points | 224.5 | moved down 223.5 |
| OKC spread | −7.5 | moved up +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 | New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 |  Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 | Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Oklahoma City Thunder host New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA on Tuesday, October 6, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.