Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder
44
38
20
24
Milwaukee Bucks
35
29
33
31
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 82%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Oklahoma City Thunder126114Milwaukee Bucks128107Oklahoma City Thunder126114Milwaukee Bucks128107Total 221 Margin OKC by 7 Win OKC 64% Actual 254 · MIL won
Oklahoma City Thunder
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Milwaukee Bucks
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks
Oklahoma City Thunder
Milwaukee Bucks
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Oklahoma City Thunder 2, Milwaukee Bucks 1.
- Average total 218.3 points per meeting
- Over 218.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MIL by 17 Feb 12, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 12, 2026 NBA Oklahoma City Thunder 93–110 Milwaukee Bucks 203 pts
- Jan 21, 2026 NBA Milwaukee Bucks 102–122 Oklahoma City Thunder 224 pts
- Oct 14, 2025 NBA Milwaukee Bucks 112–116 Oklahoma City Thunder 228 pts
Last five games
Oklahoma City Thunder
1-4 - Oct 6: Oklahoma City Thunder 110, New Orleans Pelicans 116. Lost. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.95, New Orleans Pelicans 1.85.
- May 30: Oklahoma City Thunder 103, San Antonio Spurs 111. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 28: San Antonio Spurs 118, Oklahoma City Thunder 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 26: Oklahoma City Thunder 127, San Antonio Spurs 114. Won. No odds on record.
- May 24: San Antonio Spurs 103, Oklahoma City Thunder 82. Lost. No odds on record.
Milwaukee Bucks
1-4 - Oct 5: Milwaukee Bucks 97, Minnesota Timberwolves 116. Lost. Odds: Milwaukee Bucks 2.65, Minnesota Timberwolves 1.50.
- Apr 12: Philadelphia 76ers 126, Milwaukee Bucks 106. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 10: Milwaukee Bucks 125, Brooklyn Nets 108. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 8: Detroit Pistons 137, Milwaukee Bucks 111. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 7: Brooklyn Nets 96, Milwaukee Bucks 90. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Oklahoma City Thunder, who played yesterday.
- 3-game losing streak for Oklahoma City Thunder coming into this game.
- Over/under moved down from 220.5 to 218.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 10.3 — Oklahoma City Thunder −1.8 per 100 possessions, Milwaukee Bucks −12.1.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Oklahoma City Thunder.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OKC moneyline | 1.20 | moved down 1.18 |
| MIL moneyline | 4.50 | moved down 4.46 |
| Total points | 220.5 | moved down 218.5 |
| OKC spread | −10.5 | moved down −12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 |  Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 | Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pre-season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Celtics |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 507 | 432 | +75 |
| 2 |  Atlanta Hawks |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 613 | 586 | +27 |
| 3 |  Brooklyn Nets |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 497 | 464 | +33 |
| 4 |  Orlando Magic |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 495 | 468 | +27 |
| 5 |  Detroit Pistons |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 474 | 452 | +22 |
| 6 |  Chicago Bulls |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 610 | 574 | +36 |
| 7 |  Miami Heat |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 640 | 612 | +28 |
| 8 |  Washington Wizards |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 453 | 455 | −2 |
| 9 |  Toronto Raptors |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 612 | 584 | +28 |
| 10 | Milwaukee Bucks |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 547 | 599 | −52 |
| 11 |  Cleveland Cavaliers |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 348 | 361 | −13 |
| 12 |  Indiana Pacers |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 479 | 473 | +6 |
| 13 |  Philadelphia 76ers |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 454 | 480 | −26 |
| 14 |  Charlotte Hornets |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 386 | 444 | −58 |
| 15 |  New York Knicks |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 530 | 621 | −91 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Oklahoma City Thunder host Milwaukee Bucks in the NBA on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.