Okapi Aalst vs Donar Groningen prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 83%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 176 Margin OKA by 16 Win OKA 84% Actual 204 · OKA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Okapi Aalst vs Donar Groningen
Last 29 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions
Okapi Aalst at home, last 18 games · Donar Groningen away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Okapi Aalst 1, Donar Groningen 1.
- Average total 178.0 points per meeting
- Over 173.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting OKA by 29 Mar 28, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 28, 2026 BNXT League Okapi Aalst 111–82 Donar Groningen 193 pts
- Oct 18, 2025 BNXT League Donar Groningen 85–78 Okapi Aalst 163 pts
Last five games
- Oct 17: Leiden 92, Okapi Aalst 77. Lost. Odds: Leiden 2.52, Okapi Aalst 1.31.
- Oct 10: Mechelen 79, Okapi Aalst 94. Won. Odds: Mechelen 2.52, Okapi Aalst 1.46.
- Oct 3: Okapi Aalst 95, Oostende 87. Won. Odds: Okapi Aalst 2.46, Oostende 1.50.
- May 9: Okapi Aalst 118, LWD Basket 90. Won. No odds on record.
- May 6: Limburg 99, Okapi Aalst 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 14: Donar Groningen 63, Spirou Charleroi 90. Lost. Odds: Donar Groningen 1.69, Spirou Charleroi 2.04.
- Oct 6: Donar Groningen 81, Leuven Bears 78. Won. Odds: Donar Groningen 1.72, Leuven Bears 1.95.
- Oct 2: Kortrijk 76, Donar Groningen 85. Won. Odds: Kortrijk 1.26, Donar Groningen 3.40.
- Sep 30: Tal Tech 83, Donar Groningen 70. Lost. Odds: Tal Tech 2.25, Donar Groningen 1.55.
- Sep 24: Anwil Wloclawek 97, Donar Groningen 81. Lost. Odds: Anwil Wloclawek 1.37, Donar Groningen 2.92.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved down from 175.5 to 173.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 16.3 — Okapi Aalst +11.3 per 100 possessions, Donar Groningen −5.0.
- 3rd vs 10th in the BNXT League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OKA moneyline | 1.16 | moved up 1.20 |
| DON moneyline | 4.30 | moved down 3.80 |
| Total points | 175.5 | moved down 173.5 |
| OKA spread | −9.5 | moved up −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BNXT League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 535 | 410 | +125 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | — | — | 0 | |
| 2 | Brussels Basketball | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 407 | 341 | +66 |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 463 | 417 | +46 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 385 | 365 | +20 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 328 | +71 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 456 | 433 | +23 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 399 | 402 | −3 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 340 | 345 | −5 | |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 352 | 374 | −22 | |
| 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 415 | 441 | −26 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 376 | 388 | −12 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 476 | −31 | |
| 13 | Rotterdam | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 381 | 404 | −23 |
| 14 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 405 | 431 | −26 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 377 | 462 | −85 | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 326 | 444 | −118 |
Pct percentage of games won. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Okapi Aalst host Donar Groningen in the BNXT League on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.