Ockelbo vs Alvik prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 162 Margin ALV by 26 Win ALV 94% Actual 143 · ALV won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Ockelbo vs Alvik
Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Ockelbo 0, Alvik 3.
- Average total 161.7 points per meeting
- Over 160.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ALV by 68 Sep 19, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 19, 2026 Superettan Alvik 127–59 Ockelbo 186 pts
- Oct 25, 2025 Superettan Ockelbo 73–77 Alvik 150 pts
- Sep 20, 2025 Superettan Alvik 80–69 Ockelbo 149 pts
Last five games
- Oct 31: Ockelbo 80, Malbas 69. Won. Odds: Ockelbo 1.57, Malbas 2.25.
- Oct 24: Ockelbo 75, Huddinge 76. Lost. Odds: Ockelbo 2.65, Huddinge 1.43.
- Oct 10: Ockelbo 69, Norrort 80. Lost. Odds: Ockelbo 4.50, Norrort 1.17.
- Oct 4: IK Eos 90, Ockelbo 71. Lost. Odds: IK Eos 1.28, Ockelbo 3.25.
- Oct 3: Malbas 71, Ockelbo 73. Won. Odds: Malbas 1.31, Ockelbo 3.05.
- Oct 25: Alvik 86, Malbas 65. Won. Odds: Alvik 1.01, Malbas 12.00.
- Oct 21: Alvik 87, Djurgarden 68. Won. Odds: Alvik 1.05, Djurgarden 8.75.
- Oct 17: Trelleborg 84, Alvik 97. Won. Odds: Trelleborg 2.55, Alvik 1.45.
- Oct 10: Alvik 77, Fryshuset Basket 93. Lost. Odds: Alvik 1.30, Fryshuset Basket 3.20.
- Oct 4: Alvik 90, Eskilstuna 63. Won. Odds: Alvik 1.67, Eskilstuna 2.05.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Ockelbo, who played yesterday.
- 3-game winning streak for Alvik coming into this game.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Alvik.
- Net rating difference of 28.2 — Ockelbo −7.3 per 100 possessions, Alvik +20.9.
- 161.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 160.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OCK moneyline | 5.20 | moved up 5.75 |
| ALV moneyline | 1.08 | moved up 1.12 |
| Total points | 160.5 | 160.5 |
| OCK spread | +12.5 | +12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Superettan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fryshuset Basket | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 725 | 652 | +73 |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 736 | 598 | +138 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 500 | 426 | +74 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 702 | 689 | +13 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 616 | 575 | +41 | |
| 6 | Sollentuna | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 679 | 628 | +51 |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 609 | 653 | −44 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 536 | 485 | +51 | |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 467 | 368 | +99 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 491 | 497 | −6 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 586 | 666 | −80 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 457 | 525 | −68 | |
| 13 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 623 | 776 | −153 | |
| 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 492 | 681 | −189 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Ockelbo host Alvik in the Superettan on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.