Obradoiro CAB vs Forca Lleida prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 178 Margin OBR by 22 Win OBR 92% Actual 180 · OBR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Obradoiro CAB vs Forca Lleida
Last 5 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 4: Obradoiro CAB 107, Real Madrid 114. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Obradoiro CAB 4.70, Real Madrid 1.17.
- Sep 26: MoraBanc Andorra 85, Obradoiro CAB 90. Won. Odds: MoraBanc Andorra 1.35, Obradoiro CAB 3.05.
- May 8: Obradoiro CAB 85, Gipuzkoa 68. Won. No odds on record.
- May 2: Estela 65, Obradoiro CAB 95. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Obradoiro CAB 89, Estudiantes 79. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 4: Forca Lleida 81, San Pablo Burgos 94. Lost. Odds: Forca Lleida 1.34, San Pablo Burgos 3.12.
- Sep 27: Valencia 100, Forca Lleida 105. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.11, Forca Lleida 6.12.
- May 29: Murcia 116, Forca Lleida 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 24: Forca Lleida 88, MoraBanc Andorra 116. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: Forca Lleida 75, Gran Canaria 72. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Forca Lleida dropped from 2.50 to 2.00 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.1 — Obradoiro CAB −7.5 per 100 possessions, Forca Lleida −14.6.
- 4-1 in the last five for Obradoiro CAB.
- 11th vs 17th in the ACB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OBR moneyline | 1.46 | moved up 1.75 |
| FOR moneyline | 2.50 | moved down 2.00 |
| Total points | 183.5 | 183.5 |
| OBR spread | −4.5 | moved up −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ACB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 654 | 526 | +128 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 594 | 523 | +71 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 567 | 497 | +70 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 527 | 479 | +48 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 628 | 592 | +36 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 552 | 523 | +29 | |
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 582 | 570 | +12 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 557 | 556 | +1 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 507 | +23 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 560 | 563 | −3 | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 533 | 576 | −43 | |
| 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 543 | 594 | −51 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 528 | 525 | +3 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 551 | 549 | +2 | |
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 540 | 599 | −59 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 507 | 579 | −72 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 557 | 641 | −84 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 506 | 617 | −111 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Primera FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Obradoiro CAB host Forca Lleida in the ACB on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.