Nuwaidrad vs Al Najma prediction
Nuwaidrad
25
13
16
24
Al Najma
15
29
30
23
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Nuwaidrad7879Al Najma9791Nuwaidrad7879Al Najma9791Total 170 Margin ALX by 12 Win ALX 76% Actual 175 · ALX won
Nuwaidrad vs Al Najma
Nuwaidrad
Al Najma
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Nuwaidrad 1, Al Najma 2.
- Average total 172.7 points per meeting
- Over 178.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting NUW by 6 Feb 22, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 22, 2026 Premier League Al Najma 82–88 Nuwaidrad 170 pts
- Jan 9, 2026 Premier League Nuwaidrad 77–89 Al Najma 166 pts
- Dec 4, 2025 Premier League Nuwaidrad 79–103 Al Najma 182 pts
Last five games
Nuwaidrad
2-3 - Feb 22: Al Najma 82, Nuwaidrad 88. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 18: Nuwaidrad 67, Al Manama 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 11: Nuwaidrad 90, Al Hala 82. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 5: Al Ahli 79, Nuwaidrad 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jan 28: Al Muharraq 107, Nuwaidrad 95. Lost. No odds on record.
Al Najma
1-4 - Apr 4: Al Najma 71, Al Manama 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 1: Al Manama 95, Al Najma 92. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 29: Al Najma 76, Al Manama 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 26: Al Manama 76, Al Najma 78. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 22: Al Najma 82, Nuwaidrad 88. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Al Najma coming into this game.
- Over/under moved up from 167.5 to 178.5 since it was first published.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Al Najma.
- 172.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 178.5.
- 8th vs 2nd in the Premier League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NUW moneyline | 4.25 | moved up 4.70 |
| ALX moneyline | 1.17 | moved down 1.14 |
| Total points | 167.5 | moved up 178.5 |
| NUW spread | +11.5 | moved up +12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Premier League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Muharraq |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 443 | 284 | +159 |
| 2 | Al Najma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 320 | 278 | +42 |
| 3 |  Al Hala |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 355 | 303 | +52 |
| 4 |  Al Ahli |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 297 | 293 | +4 |
| 5 |  Al Ittihad |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 276 | 327 | −51 |
| 6 |  Sitra Club |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 304 | 358 | −54 |
| 7 |  ISSA Town |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 254 | 316 | −62 |
| 8 | Nuwaidrad |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 288 | 327 | −39 |
| 9 |  Al Manama |
2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 182 | 167 | +15 |
| 10 |  Samaheej |
3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 217 | 283 | −66 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Nuwaidrad host Al Najma in the Premier League on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.