Northern Kahu vs Mainland Pouakai prediction
Northern Kahu
28
20
19
20
Mainland Pouakai
31
17
20
26
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Northern Kahu8776Mainland Pouakai9487Northern Kahu8776Mainland Pouakai9487Total 163 Margin MAI by 11 Win MAI 72% Actual 181 · MAI won
Northern Kahu
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Mainland Pouakai
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Northern Kahu vs Mainland Pouakai
Northern Kahu
Mainland Pouakai
Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Northern Kahu 0, Mainland Pouakai 3.
- Average total 162.0 points per meeting
- Over 158.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MAI by 40 Nov 28, 2025
Meetings
- Nov 28, 2025 Tauihi Women Mainland Pouakai 102–62 Northern Kahu 164 pts
- Nov 1, 2025 Tauihi Women Mainland Pouakai 85–66 Northern Kahu 151 pts
- Sep 27, 2025 Tauihi Women Northern Kahu 83–88 Mainland Pouakai 171 pts
Last five games
Northern Kahu
1-4 - Oct 3: Northern Kahu 66, Southern Hoiho 78. Lost. Odds: Northern Kahu 1.72, Southern Hoiho 1.98.
- Sep 26: Tokomanawa Queens 69, Northern Kahu 75. Won. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.62, Northern Kahu 2.10.
- Sep 25: Mid-North Whai 81, Northern Kahu 60. Lost. Odds: Mid-North Whai 1.31, Northern Kahu 3.10.
- Nov 29, 2025: Northern Kahu 72, Tokomanawa Queens 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 28, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 102, Northern Kahu 62. Lost. No odds on record.
Mainland Pouakai
3-2 - Oct 9: Mainland Pouakai 78, Tauranga Whai 82. Lost. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.36, Tauranga Whai 2.75.
- Oct 4: Tokomanawa Queens 77, Mainland Pouakai 114. Won. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.26, Mainland Pouakai 3.40.
- Sep 26: Mainland Pouakai 87, Southern Hoiho 80. Won. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.62, Southern Hoiho 2.10.
- Dec 13, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 66, Mid-North Whai 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Dec 6, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 99, Southern Hoiho 92. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Northern Kahu, 1 for Mainland Pouakai.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Mainland Pouakai.
- Net rating difference of 20.7 — Northern Kahu −11.2 per 100 possessions, Mainland Pouakai +9.5.
- 1-4 in the last five for Northern Kahu.
- 162.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 158.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NOR moneyline | 2.60 | moved up 2.80 |
| MAI moneyline | 1.45 | moved down 1.38 |
| Total points | 158.5 | 158.5 |
| NOR spread | +5.5 | moved down +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Tauihi Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Southern Hoiho |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 638 | 583 | +55 |
| 2 | Mainland Pouakai |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 631 | 573 | +58 |
| 3 |  Tauranga Whai |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 530 | 538 | −8 |
| 4 | Northern Kahu |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 442 | 492 | −50 |
| 5 |  Tokomanawa Queens |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 477 | 532 | −55 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Northern Kahu host Mainland Pouakai in the Tauihi Women on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.