Norrkoping vs Sodertalje prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 81%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 164 Margin NOR by 4 Win NOR 62% Actual 179 · SOD won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Norrkoping vs Sodertalje
Last 8 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Norrkoping 2, Sodertalje 1.
- Average total 170.3 points per meeting
- Over 162.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting NOR by 21 Jan 23, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 23, 2026 Basketligan Norrkoping 90–69 Sodertalje 159 pts
- Dec 5, 2025 Basketligan Sodertalje 87–85 Norrkoping 172 pts
- Nov 4, 2025 Basketligan Sodertalje 88–92 Norrkoping 180 pts
Last five games
- Sep 29: Nassjo 79, Norrkoping 89. Won. Odds: Nassjo 2.93, Norrkoping 1.36.
- Sep 25: Norrkoping 108, Umea 75. Won. Odds: Norrkoping 1.03, Umea 9.50.
- May 7: Boras 87, Norrkoping 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 5: Norrkoping 84, Boras 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 2: Boras 91, Norrkoping 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Sodertalje 91, Jamtland 76. Won. Odds: Sodertalje 4.20, Jamtland 1.20.
- Sep 29: Umea 64, Sodertalje 78. Won. Odds: Umea 2.95, Sodertalje 1.36.
- Sep 25: Sodertalje 89, Sloga Uppsala 67. Won. Odds: Sodertalje 1.45, Sloga Uppsala 2.61.
- Mar 27: Sodertalje 89, Boras 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 24: Boras 82, Sodertalje 71. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Sodertalje coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 13.5 — Norrkoping +6.8 per 100 possessions, Sodertalje +20.3.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Norrkoping.
- 170.3 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 162.5.
- 4th vs 1st in the Basketligan standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NOR moneyline | 1.15 | moved down 1.14 |
| SOD moneyline | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| Total points | 161.5 | moved up 162.5 |
| NOR spread | −11.5 | −11.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1.000 | 713 | 592 | +121 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 813 | 730 | +83 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 872 | 748 | +124 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 733 | 681 | +52 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 537 | 578 | −41 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 605 | 626 | −21 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 632 | 663 | −31 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 700 | −18 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 582 | 637 | −55 | |
| 10 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .125 | 605 | 692 | −87 | |
| 11 | 7 | 0 | 7 | .000 | 544 | 671 | −127 |
- Playoffs: Qualifying Finals
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Norrkoping host Sodertalje in the Basketligan on Friday, October 9, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.